#比特币 #Ethereum. Whether it's US stocks or Bitcoin, it ultimately depends on the liquidity and capital flow in the market. In the end, it still depends on the Federal Reserve. If the Federal Reserve implements large-scale interest rate cuts this year, then the Nasdaq and Bitcoin may return to this year's peak or even above 100,000.

Personally, I believe that if Trump's policies continue, regardless of how things end, it is a fact that US stocks have significantly declined this year. If the tariff policies are not adjusted or canceled in the future, US stocks will continue to be under pressure. Consequently, inflation will rise, small and medium-sized business owners will go bankrupt, and the US economy will enter a recession, which will naturally force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Only by cutting interest rates can the market stabilize, increase liquidity, and drive the rise of US stocks and Bitcoin. This could happen in the second half of the year.

74,500 is a medium to short-term low point; it is unrealistic to expect a rise to 89,000 or above in the short term. Yesterday, Bitcoin digested the positive news of the 90-day tariff suspension, but without follow-up positive news, the market will likely pull back to the point where it jumped up last night, which is around 78,800. In the short term, Bitcoin still has a chance to pull back to around 78,000. This year's most cost-effective opportunity to enter a long position has already appeared. In the past few days, regardless of the entry price for long positions, holding onto them could yield above 100,000 in the second half of the year or set new highs. For those who have not entered, gradually entering below 80,000 is advisable.