#BTC☀️

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(1) Long Position Strategy: Lightly test long around 74,500

Entry Criteria:

Price touches the EMA(99) long-term support extension zone (73,000-74,500);

RSI oversold repair demand + KDJ technical rebound after low position stagnation.

Risk Control Details:

Entry Point: 74,500-74,700 (avoid precise orders being hit);

Stop Loss: 73,500 (breaking the previous day's low confirms the break);

Target: 76,000-76,500 (EMA7 resistance zone), if broken then look towards 77,000 (EMA25 strong resistance).

Reduce position by 50% when rebounding to 75,500, and track stop loss for the remaining position.

(2) Short Position Strategy: Ambush short positions in the 76,500-77,000 range

Entry Criteria:

EMA25 (77,682.9) coincides with the historical chip density area;

On-chain behavior of major players selling after inducing buying (whale address transfer to exchanges).

Risk Control Details:

Entry Point: 76,500-77,000 (build positions in batches, avoid missing out);

Stop Loss: 78,200 (if breaking the previous high of 78,500, the trend reverses);

Target: 74,500-75,000 (chip gap replenishment point).

🉑 Long Position Invalid Conditions:

Price cannot stay above 75,000 within 1 hour;

OBV continues to decline while price rebounds diverges.

Short Position Invalid Conditions:

Price breaks above 77,500 and MACD golden cross;

On-chain data shows large whale cold wallet accumulation (e.g., single transaction > 1,000 BTC transferred to non-exchange address).