Many people are discussing the impact of U.S. tariffs, but in fact, the U.S. cannot win a tariff war.

Why is that?

What are the daily expenses of ordinary people?

It’s basically just food, clothing, housing, transportation, entertainment, and healthcare.

What are the high-tech products that ordinary people must buy daily?

It’s just three things: mobile phones, computers, and cars.

For food, clothing, housing, transportation, entertainment, and healthcare, we hardly ever have to buy American products.

As for high-tech, it's even less; we all have mobile phones, computers, and cars, it’s just a matter of whether we buy Apple or Tesla.

To put it bluntly, there are very few American products that ordinary people must buy from start to finish. It's not that the U.S. doesn't sell us high-tech products, but that ordinary consumption has very few American products that are a must-buy.

Similarly, American people's daily consumption is also largely food, clothing, housing, and transportation; they don't necessarily have to buy Chinese products, but if there are no Chinese daily goods, the prices of ordinary people's daily expenses will at least rise by 50%.

Do you understand?

If the trade war continues, we will just earn a little less and won’t have to work 996 every day. However, daily consumer goods cannot see a significant price increase. Even a 10% increase would be the maximum.

But the average monthly income for Americans is only 4000 dollars, and daily consumer goods account for at least half of that.

With 2000 dollars in daily consumption, a 50% price increase means that everyone’s 4000-dollar income would be compressed to 3000 dollars.

In other words, the average American would lose 25%, while we would lose 10% on average.

From the perspective of ordinary people, the U.S. tariff war is bound to lose.