Over 25% of Bitcoin Supply Currently at a Loss

Recent on-chain data reveals that 25.8% of Bitcoin’s total supply—equivalent to over 5.1 million BTC—is now held at a loss. This means those coins were purchased at higher prices than the current market value.

Such unrealized losses are not uncommon in the crypto space, especially during periods of high volatility. This trend may reflect growing market pressure, consolidation, or the result of investors buying in during local price peaks driven by hype or FOMO.

What It Means for Bitcoin Investors

Historically, a significant portion of Bitcoin in loss often precedes two possible outcomes: a wave of selling that pushes prices lower, or strong holding behavior as investors wait for a rebound.

This phase challenges both retail and long-term holders, testing their confidence in the asset. The current 25.8% loss ratio points to a correction phase, aligning with recent market swings.

Market Outlook: Stabilization or Capitulation?

This figure could signal either upcoming market stabilization or potential capitulation if prices continue to slide. Long-term investors often monitor such metrics to determine potential entry points or identify signs of a market bottom.

Despite the growing losses, over 70% of Bitcoin supply remains in profit—indicating resilience and confidence among seasoned holders.