Bitcoin BTC
Key Support 80,000 (Psychological Level)
Deadly Resistance 85,000 (Previous High Platform)
If it cannot hold 80,000, it will continue to test lower points
Ethereum ETH
Key Support 1,420 (Whale Accumulation Zone)
Deadly Resistance 1,620 (MA20)
Below 1,500 is the 'Zeroing Theory' disaster area
Last Line of Defense for Bulls:
• If BTC holds above 80,000 USD + ETH breaks through 1,620 USD, it may trigger a short-term rebound (Target 85,000/1,700)
Deadly Move for Bears:
• If ETH loses 1,500 USD, it will open a liquidation channel down to 1,400 USD (Leverage long positions still exceed 2 million coins)
• The Bitcoin options market has a put option ratio of 68%, with the market betting it will drop below 70,000 USD
🎯 Retail Investor Breakthrough Strategy
Short-term (1-3 days):
• Bearish: Short ETH at 1,620 USD, Stop Loss at 1,650, Target at 1,500 (Position ≤ 5%)
• Bullish: Buy BTC at 80,000 USD, Stop Loss at 78,500, Target at 85,000 (Must confirm with volume)
Medium-term (1-3 months):
• Regular Investment Plan: Start weekly investment if ETH drops to 1,400 USD (Buy 10% weekly), Target rebound to 2,000 USD by Q3 2025
• Hedging Strategy: Long ETH/Short SOL (Current price of SOL is 97.65 USD, higher technical breakdown risk)
⚠️ Life and Death Warning
• Black Swan Alert: If ETH drops below 1,420 USD, it may trigger a chain liquidation leading to a 30% drop in a single day
• Policy Landmine: The final ruling of the US SEC on the Ethereum ETF (April 15) may trigger a market nuclear explosion
• Survival Rule: Keep at least 30% cash, avoid high leverage, stay away from altcoins!