šŸ™‹ā€ā™‚ļø Hey, guys! This week's results and analysis of the crypto market.

šŸ•’ Last week I warned about volatility and risks. Was looking at 85K breakout zones in BTC - took the move up to 88K. Trumponomics caused a hurricane: traditional assets fell Thursday-Friday, crypto fell over the weekend, reaching 75K (BTC) and 1.4K (ETH). The risks of falling in a narrow market warned in advance.

Liquidation map:

Important areas:

BTC: bottom 73.5K, top 80K

ETH: 1.4K at the bottom, 1.55K at the top

šŸ’¼ ETF Market:

Netflow for March 31-April 4, 2025:

BTC: -164.40 million

ETH: -49.80 million

ā›“ļø Onchain Metrics:

Inflows of BTC and ETH on CEX are pressuring prices. Open interest falls - unloading shorts, fixing positions, market weakness, rebound possible.

🌐 Macroeconomics:

Early US tariff changes and Fed rate cut before the meeting may trigger a V-turn in the market.

Key macro statistics:

April 10: Core CPI

Unemployment benefits

šŸ’” Forecast:

BTC:

Possible low in 70-72K (past ATH zone).

Medium-term reversal above 83K.

Short term trading: V/W patterns, Volume analysis.

ETH:

Declining OI calls into question the decline, consolidation in 1.4-1.6K is likely.

Medium-term reversal above 1.7K.

Short-term trading: V/W patterns.

$BTC $ETH