Brothers, the Qingming festival is over, the crash was anticipated long ago,
As the big shark predicted before the festival: Old thief Trump swings the tariff club,
The global financial market will definitely collectively collapse,
This old bastard Trump is really fucking crazy!
The U.S. stock market evaporated $5 trillion in a week, what does $5 trillion in market value mean?
Equivalent to smashing the German and French stock markets into powder together!
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The Nasdaq index plunged 7.2% in a week, creating the worst week in five years
Tesla’s stock price dropped 18% in three days, Musk’s wealth shrank by $32 billion
This made Ma very anxious, turning around and tweeting to criticize Trump’s advisor Navarro:
"Still a freaking Harvard PhD in economics, got kicked in the head by a donkey?"
Obama directly fired back: "If I had done this back then, I would have been torn apart!"
Even stock god Buffett couldn’t sit still: "Tariffs are fucking an economic war!"
The funniest is Trump Jr. - Donald Trump Jr., who just became an advisor to the prediction platform Kalshi last year,
Now this platform predicts the probability of a U.S. economic recession has soared to 68%!
So Trump’s own family is singing the blues? This is clearly an insider!
I have to say Trump's tariff maneuvers can be called "economic suicide attack".
Shouting "equal tariffs" on the surface, but the actual effect is comparable to throwing a Molotov cocktail into your own granary,
The key is this guy shamelessly said "Tariffs have earned the U.S. over $10 billion," phew!
Do you think the market is an ATM machine? The retail investors just got harvested by the U.S. stock market crash,
You directly run into the field of retail investors with a sickle and shout: "Don’t run! Let me cut again!"
And call it “increasing tariffs can protect American workers?”
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Shut your damn mouth!
During the 2018 China-U.S. trade war,
U.S. manufacturing jobs decreased by 36,000,
Tariffs caused American companies to pay an extra $46 billion in unjustified costs,
Every big family in America spends an extra $1,270 a year buying expensive goods, is this called protection?
Clearly treating the common people as ATMs!
you old fool are not doing economics at all,
but is performing a colonoscopy for Wall Street—specifically poking the backside!
Otherwise, some people say: Trump’s brain-dead swing isn’t a tariff club,
but it’s global economic eggs that are exploding, it’s the retail investors’ blood and sweat money!
What’s more terrifying is the countdown to the U.S. debt nuclear bomb next,
$1.1 trillion powder keg, if it blows, it will truly penetrate the global financial underpants!
The gang on Wall Street messed it up again! What’s with the U.S. debt basis trading?
Essentially: borrowing yen to buy U.S. debt: earning 0.25% from interest rate differentials, leveraging up to 50 times
The fatal flaw: as long as U.S. debt prices drop by 2%, then it’s a complete rout,
Current scale: $1.1 trillion, more than double that of 2020.
Why explode now?
The Federal Reserve stubbornly refuses to cut rates: the 10-year U.S. debt yield soared to 4.6%,
Prices have dropped like dogs, the Bank of Japan is scared: YCC policy is loosening,
Yen borrowing costs skyrocketed, volatility exploded: the MOVE index broke 160,
Setting a new high since 2008. The chain reaction simulation is:
Hedge funds are blowing up and then dumping U.S. debt,
Then the yield surge leads to more fund blowups,
Then a bank run, and finally, the Federal Reserve saves the market.
Historical comparison: In March 2020, $500 billion basis trading blew up,
The Federal Reserve printed $3 trillion overnight. So by 2025,
It would take printing $6 trillion to fill the hole.
So the current situation is:
The global financial market is sitting on a powder keg,
Trump is still playing with a lighter by the side!
And Powell is like a drug addict:
Very tough on the outside, but very honest on the inside,
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has expanded to $7.4 trillion,
In the past four years, an average of $5.2 billion was printed daily, equal to $3.6 million per minute,
Market prediction: If U.S. stocks drop another 10%, the Federal Reserve will be forced to cut rates by 150 basis points.
The vicious cycle is that Trump’s tariffs lead to a crash in the U.S. stock market,
And the continuous crash of U.S. stocks forced Powell to print money, which then pushed up inflation,
Ultimately forced to raise rates again, raising rates collapses the economy, and with no other options, continues printing money...
This is fucking modern finance’s addiction model: every time the drug habit hits, the dosage is increased; in the end, either overdosing,
Either drag the whole world down with it!
Of course, the most suffering are still in the crypto world; as soon as the tariff club fell,
Last night the big coin's belt was taken down, directly smashed from 81,500 to 77,268,
80,000 iron-clad belts can break at any moment, trading volume is wildly soaring!
Now this position at 77,500 is like a public toilet, anyone can come and step on it,
Is the support level below 73800-72500? I think it’s precarious!
The daily candlestick directly pierced the lower band, MACD death cross green bars increasing in volume,
Is this heading towards 60,000?
Of course, Ethereum is even more fucking tragic! The 1750 underwear was directly torn apart,
Sliding down to 1548, the Bollinger bands are stretched like underpants!
On-chain, 67,500 ETH were liquidated,
$105 million just vanished, the dog fund is playing with a series of liquidations smoothly!
What’s even more absurd is that two stupid whales actually went against the trend and bottom-fished 30,000 Aunty coins,
As a result, just after buying, the price collapsed—are you fucking burning money for fun?
The copycat sector is also a mess!
The CMC token index can’t even hold 30, shit coins are falling like dogs,
Shitcoin projects going to zero! Even the $REAL token endorsed by UFC superstar Conor McGregor,
They all fucking failed to raise funds, it took 28 hours to deceive, didn't they just raise $390,000,
The retail investors don’t even believe in celebrity halos anymore!
This market is really fucking a "copycat season turning into graveyard season"!
What’s even funnier is that this week APT, AXS, and MOVE, etc.,
Will usher in a significant one-time unlocking of tokens, totaling over $50 million in value released,
Aren't you adding more obstacles to the copycat road?
With the current market, there are still people asking big sharks if they should bottom fish?
Screw your hammer! The big coin is eyeing 76,000 to 72,000,
Let’s see if Ethereum can hold 1350, and as for the copycat? Just surviving is good!
CZ said: "Now play with coins, first take small money to test the water, don’t go all in!"
Sun's cut is even more severe: "Memecoin? No IP and no community, just wait to die!"
The downtrend is not over yet; there’s still heavyweight bombs next week:
Strong CPI and PPI data released, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes exposed,
The disappearance of each one can cause the market to roller coaster in minutes.
According to expert predictions, the probability of a rate cut in May is only 33% now!
So the big shark’s view is to move bricks to survive and wait for Mr. Powell to release water,
At this stage, absolutely don’t be the one to catch the falling knife; buying the dip now is like catching flying knives,
Wait until the second and third candlesticks shrink in volume before saying anything! If you’re too anxious,
The big shark suggests you stock up on U, after all, cash flow is king,
The more bricks you move, the more U you earn; wait for the gold pit to appear and then go all in!
In terms of market trends, keep an eye on U.S. stocks; the big coin is just a tagalong now,
If U.S. stocks continue to fall, don’t expect the big coin to turn around; at the same time, beware of the copycat zeroing out tide,
90% of copycats are doomed; only play with coins that have communities and applications,
Referring to historical experience, unlimited QE in 2020 could save the market, and it can do the same in 2025!
but before that, hold tight to your money bag; staying alive is more important than making money!
Alright, that’s it for today; if you like the big shark’s style, you can like, comment, and follow.
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