🚨 EL-ERIAN WARNS: U.S. RECESSION RISK NOW “UNCOMFORTABLY HIGH” 🚨
📉 INFLATION UP, GROWTH DOWN, TARIFFS RISING — WHAT’S NEXT?
🔍 KEY INSIGHT:
Top economist Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Advisor at Allianz, says the U.S. recession probability has jumped to 50%, warning that the economy is nearing "stall speed" due to Trump’s aggressive tariff policies.
💥 TARIFFS TRIGGER TROUBLE
🇺🇸 President Donald Trump’s reciprocal import tariffs are shaking up global markets.
🧨 El-Erian: “These duties could significantly damage the U.S. and global economy.”
📉 Signs of economic weakness are already appearing in the U.S.
📈 INFLATION RISING, FED ON EDGE
💬 But El-Erian sees this as temporary:
“When the U.S. slows, the world slows even more — the dollar won’t stay weak for long.”
🧠 MARKETS UNDERESTIMATING INFLATION
Traders are too focused on growth, says El-Erian.
🟡 “They haven’t priced in:
1️⃣ The global inflation impact
2️⃣ Currency adjustments
3️⃣ The Fed’s tough position”
🧩 LONG-TERM OUTLOOK: STILL DIVIDED
“There’s consensus on the pain now… but no conviction about the gain later,” El-Erian told CNBC.
📉 For now, short-term recession risk dominates the economic narrative.
📌 CRYPTOPULSEE TAKEAWAY:
🚦 U.S. economy is flashing warning signs.
📉 With growth forecasts slashed, inflation rising, and the Fed cornered, the market’s optimism may be misplaced.
🧨 Brace for volatility. Stay informed. Stay strategic.
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