RecessionRisk

#TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #TrumpTariffs – June 14 Briefing

📉 Market Impact Growing:

Tariff inflation not visible yet, but economists warn it’s coming soon.

Ex-IMF official: Trump’s tariff + tax strategy could trigger recession & weaken the dollar.

🌐 Global Shockwaves:

OECD & Bank of England slash U.S. growth forecast to ~1.6%

Global trade system “blown up” by tariff hikes.

🛒 What’s Getting Pricier?

📱 Smartphones & PCs

🥫 Canned goods (due to steel tariffs)

💡 For Crypto Traders:

Watch the Fed — inflation may delay rate cuts.

Risk-on markets like $BTC
BTC and $BNB
BNB could stay volatile.

#Binance #MacroUpdate #CryptoMarkets #Inflation #RecessionRisk

#JobsReportShock

🚨 Jobs Report Shock: Good News or a Warning Sign? 🚨

The latest jobs report delivered a big surprise—275,000 jobs added in February, way above expectations. But here’s the catch: unemployment rose to 3.9%, its highest level in two years. So, what’s really happening in the job market?

📊 Are we seeing true strength, or are cracks starting to form?

💰 With wage growth slowing, does this mean inflation is cooling—or are workers losing leverage?

📉 Will the rising unemployment rate push the Fed toward rate cuts sooner than expected?

Markets are reacting with uncertainty, and so are economists. Some say this proves the economy is still resilient, while others warn that the rising jobless rate could be an early red flag.

🤔 What do you think? Is this a sign of a healthy labor market, or are we heading for trouble? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️

#economy #RecessionRisk #stockmarket #FederalReserve

U.S. Markets Bleed $11 Trillion as Trump’s Tariff Threats Spark Chaos

Since February 19, U.S. stocks have shed a jaw-dropping $11 trillion, with $3.25 trillion lost in a single day on April 4—eclipsing the entire $2.68 trillion global crypto market cap.

The Nasdaq 100 plunged 6%, officially entering bear market territory. The famed “Magnificent 7” tech giants tumbled 10.42%, led by Tesla, with Nvidia and Apple sliding over 7% each.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, April 4 was the worst day for U.S. stocks since March 2020. Recession odds? Now above 60%.

Why the panic? All eyes are on Trump’s historic April 2 tariff policy, which experts warn could trigger a full-blown recession if it escalates.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin stands tall—trading at $83,749, down just 0.16% over the week, showing rare stability amid chaos.

Even skeptics are turning heads.

“I’ve hated Bitcoin in the past,” said Dividend Hero. “But seeing it hold steady while everything else collapses is... interesting.”

Pompliano warns the Trump admin may be intentionally crashing markets to force rate cuts, avoiding the cost of refinancing $7 trillion in U.S. debt.

Is this a master plan or market mayhem?

#TrumpTariffs #RecessionRisk #BitcoinStability #FedWatch #MarketsCrash
$BTC $ETH $SOL

🚨 Trump’s First 100 Days: Economic Warning Signs Ahead? 🇺🇸📉

President Trump’s return to the Oval Office has sparked serious economic and political concerns. Critics argue his first 100 days have delivered more turbulence than progress:

🔻 Market Meltdown
• GDP contracts sharply.
• Inflation surges—especially in food and transport.
• Investor confidence shaken; crypto and stocks show extreme volatility.

⚔️ Trade Turmoil & Global Tensions
• Tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada disrupt key imports.
• Diplomatic strains rise with Ukraine and Iran.
• Cozying up to Russia draws international skepticism.

📉 Labor Market Slide
• Supply chain issues from halted Chinese production hit U.S. industries.
• Unemployment rises amid a lack of clear job creation plans.
• Labor force participation continues to weaken.

💸 Campaign Promises vs. Reality
• Pledges to lower living costs and make the U.S. a crypto leader remain unfulfilled.
• Inflation climbs; regulatory clarity in crypto is still absent.

📊 Recession Warnings Flashing
• CPI and PPI data soften.
• Economists caution that recession risks are mounting.
• Public trust in recovery is quickly eroding.

📢 Final Word
If this is just the beginning, what’s next? Investors, markets, and everyday Americans may need to brace for impact.

#Trump
#Economy
#RecessionRisk

Goldman Sachs now forecasts a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within the next year—its highest estimate since post-pandemic inflation kicked off. Tightening financial conditions, global trade tensions, and incoming tariffs are putting serious pressure on the economy.

📉 Economic red flags:
- Q4 2025 GDP growth forecast cut to just 0.5%
- Rising stagflation fears could trigger early Fed rate cuts
- Wall Street sentiment dims—JPMorgan joins the recession chorus
But here’s the twist: Goldman is buying more Bitcoin.

📈 Crypto conviction:
- BTC holdings now exceed $1.5B, mostly via BlackRock’s and Fidelity’s ETFs
- IBIT positions up 88%, FBTC up 105%
- Goldman sees BTC as a hedge in a weakening TradFi environment

Even as the macro outlook darkens, Bitcoin is emerging as a potential safe haven—and institutions are paying attention.
Will crypto once again thrive under pressure?
Drop your thoughts below!👇
#Bitcoin #GoldmanSachs #RecessionRisk #BTC #CryptoNews

🚨 EL-ERIAN WARNS: U.S. RECESSION RISK NOW “UNCOMFORTABLY HIGH” 🚨

📉 INFLATION UP, GROWTH DOWN, TARIFFS RISING — WHAT’S NEXT?

🔍 KEY INSIGHT:

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Advisor at Allianz, says the U.S. recession probability has jumped to 50%, warning that the economy is nearing "stall speed" due to Trump’s aggressive tariff policies.

💥 TARIFFS TRIGGER TROUBLE

🇺🇸 President Donald Trump’s reciprocal import tariffs are shaking up global markets.

🧨 El-Erian: “These duties could significantly damage the U.S. and global economy.”

📉 Signs of economic weakness are already appearing in the U.S.

📈 INFLATION RISING, FED ON EDGE

💬 But El-Erian sees this as temporary:

“When the U.S. slows, the world slows even more — the dollar won’t stay weak for long.”

🧠 MARKETS UNDERESTIMATING INFLATION

Traders are too focused on growth, says El-Erian.

🟡 “They haven’t priced in:

1️⃣ The global inflation impact

2️⃣ Currency adjustments

3️⃣ The Fed’s tough position”

🧩 LONG-TERM OUTLOOK: STILL DIVIDED

“There’s consensus on the pain now… but no conviction about the gain later,” El-Erian told CNBC.

📉 For now, short-term recession risk dominates the economic narrative.

📌 CRYPTOPULSEE TAKEAWAY:

🚦 U.S. economy is flashing warning signs.

📉 With growth forecasts slashed, inflation rising, and the Fed cornered, the market’s optimism may be misplaced.

🧨 Brace for volatility. Stay informed. Stay strategic.

#RecessionRisk #TrumpTariffs #MarketUpdate #WallStreetWatch #TariffImpact

📊 "Calm Before the Storm?" – Fed Eyes Inflation Trends Cautiously ⏳⚠️

Fitch analyst Olu Sonola suggests the Fed may view the recent PCE inflation report as a temporary pause, not a turning point.

🗣 “American consumers remain resilient,” says Sonola.
💸 No rate cuts expected unless spending dips or job losses rise sharply.

🔮 What’s Next?
Markets could stay on edge as the Fed watches economic data for cracks in the consumer foundation.

#Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #USMarkets #EconomicUpdate #PCEInflation #FinanceNews #FedPolicy #RecessionRisk $BTC

In a surprising move, predictive markets such as Myriad Markets, Kalshi, and Polymarket have lowered their estimates for the likelihood of a recession in the United States, following President Donald Trump's announcement to suspend "reciprocal" tariffs on most countries.
This decision, described as a smart tactical step, has bolstered investor confidence in the stability of the U.S. economy in the short term and opened the door for more flexible trade negotiations with international partners.
⬇️ The decline in recession probabilities came as a sigh of relief for markets that have suffered from volatility and political uncertainty in recent months.
✳️ Economic indicators have begun to show positive signs, especially in the employment and manufacturing sectors, prompting many market participants to reassess their future expectations.
On the other hand, observers believe that this step may be temporary, contingent on the reactions of the benefiting countries, making the current situation fragile and requiring close monitoring.
⚖️ In the balance of politics and economics, it seems that Trump is betting on the factor of time and relative calm before taking more drastic measures.
The question remains open: Is this decline in recession probabilities the beginning of a real recovery? Or just a breather for a warrior in an ongoing economic battle?

#TRUMP
#USRecession
#Tariffs
#CryptoTariffDrop
#Kalshi
#Polymarket
#MyriadMarkets
#GlobalTrade
#MarketConfidence
#EconomicNews
#FinanceUpdate
#RecessionRisk

🚨🔥 JPMorgan just cranked up the US recession risk from 30% to 40%! 📉💥 Brace yourselves, markets could get rocky! Will this fuel the next big crypto move? 🚀📊
#bitcoin #crypto #RecessionRisk

#MarketPullback
The U.S. stock market is experiencing a significant pullback, with the S&P 500 down approximately 7.3% over the past three months. This decline follows a historic rally and is attributed to several factors:
Nasdaq

Tariff Policies: President Trump's aggressive tariffs, including a 145% tax on Chinese imports, have introduced market volatility and raised concerns about a potential recession .
MarketWatch
+1
Business Insider
+1

Economic Indicators: The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in Q1, and inflation remains a concern, prompting fears of a slowdown .
Business Insider

Investor Sentiment: A recent poll indicates the most bearish outlook among professional investors since 1997, with 32% expressing pessimism about the market's future .
Barron's

Analysts suggest that this pullback could be a short-term correction, but caution that further declines are possible if economic and geopolitical uncertainties persist.

#MarketPullback #StockMarket #Tariffs #RecessionRisk #InvestorSentiment #EconomicSlowdown

#USJobsSlump

📉 U.S. Jobs Slump: A Warning Sign for the Economy?

The latest jobs data is raising concerns as the U.S. labor market shows signs of slowing down. Job growth has fallen short of expectations, wage growth is cooling, and the unemployment rate is creeping higher. After months of resilience, is the job market finally weakening?

Key Concerns & Market Impact:

📉 Slower job growth – Is this a temporary dip or a sign of an economic slowdown?

💰 Wage growth cooling – Good for inflation control, but bad for workers?

🏦 Federal Reserve impact – Will this push the Fed toward rate cuts sooner?

📊 Recession fears – Could this be the first sign of a broader economic downturn?

Some analysts see this as a natural correction after a hot labor market, while others worry it could signal deeper economic trouble ahead.

🤔 What do you think? Normal slowdown or early warning sign? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️

#USJobsSlump #Economy #JobMarket #RecessionRisk #FederalReserve