2025-4-4 Today's Viewpoint Today, we won't talk about the market or look at K-lines.

I am not very likable; when others are happily bullish, I am pointing out potential risks. When others are anticipating a big crash, I say to enter the market in batches to avoid missing out. It’s normal for people to dislike you when you constantly go against the crowd.

But that's okay; I prefer to play abstractly; I’m not into fan culture, and I don’t need everyone to like me.

I hope everyone has not missed out during these times and has either exited or reduced positions at high levels.

Various smokescreens have emerged since last night, but the news aligns with the previously mentioned "three no news" type, so we cannot take it all at face value. We can only say that we can infer the intentions of the main players through the news. The U.S. stock market was definitely oversold yesterday, but you can’t say it will just bounce back immediately; after all, there are still some tariff details that haven’t been finalized, and the complete implementation won't happen until the 9th.

This is the only known bearish factor in the short term. We don’t know if this is the bottom, but relative to the bottom it is not a problem. From another perspective, if you have to get stuck in a long position, would you prefer to be stuck at a low or a high? Similarly, if you have to get stuck in a short position, would you rather be stuck at the floor or near the peak? This principle is quite simple.

Because I trade on the left side, most of my purchases are made when others are too scared to buy, which carries high risk. Guessing the bottom and top, estimating market trends are all routine operations. Don’t believe in the nonsense that if you have skill, you can just do it; if that were true, everyone would be trading on the left side. The left side still carries significant risk, so my viewpoint can only be a viewpoint; do not believe it entirely, and even less do not be superstitious about it. Because it is all speculation, if it’s right, it’s good luck; if it’s wrong, that’s also normal. After all, the market's direction is just like a one-year-old baby, sometimes crying, sometimes laughing; no one is a perpetual winner.

Teachers should cherish their reputation. They are reluctant to say anything in advance; if it goes up, they say it goes up, if it goes down, they say it goes down, and they will never be wrong. If they say it in advance, it means that if they make one mistake, they will be nailed to the pillar of shame. It’s natural to be reluctant to speak, and there’s nothing wrong with that.

There is a non-farm payroll report tonight; tell me loudly, what is the convention for non-farm payrolls? Draw a door!

Therefore, tonight we still need to be cautious. If there is a sharp rally around 8 o'clock, we need to be careful of a quick pullback.