Current Situation: Stalemate at $80,000, the market is collectively 'trembling'

  • From the $100,000 frenzy to the $80,000 confusion: After Bitcoin's surge from $70,000 to $100,000, it's stuck in the $80,000 range, 'stuck in a dilemma', panic spreads among retail investors, while seasoned players secretly accumulate—market liquidity is nearly exhausted!

  • Trump's 'Tariff Nuclear Bomb' Surprise: Initially thought to be beneficial for the crypto market ahead of the election, but the tariff war has severely damaged confidence! Tariffs drive up inflation → the Federal Reserve dares not cut rates, with rate cut expectations becoming the only lifeline.

Tonight's Focus: Trump's tariff big move at 4 AM!

  • Critical Moment: If tariff policies ease, Bitcoin may rebound and challenge $90,000; if the tough stance continues, it may drop to $78,000 (but the probability of a new low is low, as bad news has been digested).

  • Chain Reaction: Following this week's key employment data, global funds are holding their breath, any slight movement could trigger a massive shock!

Federal Reserve's Secret Weapon: Rate cut expectations become the last hope

  • Market Bets: First rate cut in June (84.5% probability), second in September (86.12%), third in December (93.43%), if June materializes, a rate cut speculation wave may start in May!

  • Deadly Difference:

    • Economic Collapse Style Rate Cut: U.S. stocks and Bitcoin may plummet in the short term, requiring government intervention to rescue the market for a true trend.

    • Inflation Cooling Style Rate Cut: A small rebound is expected, but it's hard to replicate last year's madness, recession shadows still loom.

Risk Warning: April 10th Tax Season Nuclear Bomb

The U.S. tax season is approaching, massive whale sell-off puts pressure on cashing out, which may become a short-term trigger for a market crash!

Retail Investor Strategy: Lie flat or charge forward?

  • Short-term Players: Keep a close eye on tonight's tariff results, if favorable, can lightly invest for a rebound, but act quickly!

  • Long-term Believers: Gradually invest below $80,000, stock up on chips before the rate cut cycle kicks off.

  • Warning: Even if it surges to $100,000, it’s still 'baseless', a market lacking money and courage cannot support a lasting bull!

#Bitcoin Roller Coaster #Federal Reserve Rate Cut #Trump Tariffs
Retweet Reminder: Sleepless night ahead, proceed with caution! 🔥