Although history will not repeat itself, it will be surprisingly similar!
1. Hackers steal coins
1. Mt.Gox exchange hack (2014)
2. Binance Chain cross-chain bridge attack (October 2022)
✅ Bybit was hacked, the incident happened in February 2025!
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2. Stablecoin depegging
UST/Luna Collapse (May 2022)
✅ FDUSD de-anchoring risk warning, the event has already happened today, April 2nd. Brother Sun’s warning this time is a bit like the content published by @CZ when FTX collapsed. I was wondering why it is so familiar!
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3. Halving effect fades
The bull market cycle after Bitcoin halving usually lasts 12-18 months. After the halving in 2024, the market will peak in early 2025, which is in line with historical rules.
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4. Exchange Crash
Exchange crash (FTX crash November 2022)
✅The hidden leverage or fraudulent practices of small and medium-sized exchanges are becoming increasingly apparent. I won’t name them. Although there has been no sudden collapse yet, I think it will happen soon!
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V. Regulation and Macroeconomics
✅In April 2025, Binance adjusted the $ACT token contract rules, causing a flash crash, exposing the fatal impact of policy risks on low-liquidity tokens!
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6. Differentiation between retail and institutional behavior
✅In 2025, the cost for long-term Bitcoin holders will be approximately US$25,000, while the average cost for short-term holders will be as high as US$92,000, creating selling pressure!
*Look at the current position on April 3rd, it is particularly similar to that in May 22nd!