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Trading Heights
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It’s Official: "Reciprocal Tariff" Week Has Begun
President Trump has dubbed this Wednesday, April 2nd, as “Liberation Day”, and it’s not just a catchy name — it marks the largest escalation in the global trade war to date. Get ready: the markets are heading into one of the most volatile weeks in years. What’s Happening? President Trump is launching new “Reciprocal Tariffs” on 20%+ tariffs affecting 25+ countries, on top of already existing tariffs. By the end of April, over $1.5 TRILLION worth of imports will be impacted. Markets had hoped April 2nd would bring clarity — but instead, it may spark unprecedented global economic retaliation. LIVE US Tariffs Already Include: ♦️ 25% on all steel & aluminum ♦️ 25% on most Canadian goods, 10% on Canadian energy ♦️ 25% on all Mexican goods ♦️ 20% on many Chinese imports New tariffs coming this week: ♦️ 25% auto tariffs ♦️ 25% tariffs on countries buying Venezuelan oil ♦️ Pharmaceutical tariffs — just announced Friday Global Retaliation Begins ♦️ Canada already hit back with $21B in reciprocal tariffs ♦️ China imposed 10–15% tariffs on US agriculture ♦️ EU promises full retaliation ♦️ Mexico’s president will announce counter-tariffs on April 3rd We’re witnessing reciprocal tariffs on reciprocal tariffs — this is turning into one of the largest trade wars in modern history. The Impact Is Already Massive ♦️ Average US tariff rate is now ~8% — highest since 1970 ♦️ By end of April, the 1946 record high may be broken ♦️ Policy Uncertainty Index is off the charts — 80% HIGHER than 2008 ♦️ Consumer Sentiment has fallen to 57, matching 2008 crisis levels ♦️ Economic slowdown has already started Markets in Chaos ♦️ Gold ETFs saw $12B inflows in just 2 months ♦️ Gold is up +17% YTD ♦️ S&P 500 is down -5% YTD ♦️ Institutional capital is fleeing stocks at historic levels ♦️ Magnificent 7 stocks lost $3 TRILLION in market cap — while retail traders bought the dip This divergence is a flashing red signal. Wednesday’s New Additions: ♦️ Introduction of the “External Revenue Service” — a body focused on tariff enforcement and collection ♦️ Auto Tariffs alone will affect $275+ BILLION/year in imports ♦️ Trump aims to generate $600 BILLION per year in tariff revenue — effectively a new national tax Tariffs = Inflation Fuel ♦️ In Trade War 1.0, PCE prices in tariffed goods rose +4%, while non-tariff categories fell -2% ♦️ Expect inflation to run HOT in Q2 2025 ♦️ Price hikes will be passed to consumers — across autos, pharma, oil, and electronics Geo-Political Heat Rising Trump warns: ♦️ Iran will face military action if no nuclear deal is made ♦️ 25–50% tariffs on Russian oil are on the table ♦️ Secondary tariffs on Iran to follow Which US Sectors Are at Risk? ♦️ Automobiles ♦️ Pharmaceuticals ♦️ Semiconductors These are expected to bear the brunt of international retaliation. In Summary: The world isn’t just heading into a tariff storm — we’re already in it.
April 2nd will mark a critical turning point, and markets are already showing signs of extreme stress. This is Trump’s Trade War 2.0 — and it could reshape the global economy. Stay alert. Stay informed.
#TrumpTariffs
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