📅 Date: March 31, 2025
💰 Current price: $81,382.5

BTC continues to weaken today, with the price breaking below $84,000 and continuing downward, currently hovering in the $81,000-$82,000 range, with increasing bear pressure. Can the bulls hold the key support? How will the subsequent trend evolve?

📉 Daily analysis: weak downward trend, with $80,000 as a key defense point.

From the daily perspective, BTC is still in a downward trend, with the price consistently closing in the red for several days, and no signs of a bottoming out in the short term:

MA10 (short-term moving average): $84,950, the price has already broken below, and the short-term trend is clearly bearish.

MA30 (mid-term moving average): $84,996, the mid-term trend is still under pressure, with insufficient rebound strength.

MA120 (long-term moving average): $94,591, far from the current price, the long-term trend is still in a correction phase.

MACD indicator: both DIF and DEA are moving downward, bear momentum is increasing, and further downside is not ruled out in the short term.

📌 Key point analysis:

Support levels: $80,000 / $76,500

Resistance levels: $82,500 / $85,000

📢 Summary: If BTC cannot stabilize above $82,000, it may continue to test $80,000 or even lower in the short term. Bulls need to recover at least $85,000 to mount a counterattack.

⏳ Four-hour level: weak fluctuations, bears gradually control the market.

From the four-hour level, the overall trend is still in a downward channel, with a clear bear trend:

The moving average system shows a bearish arrangement, with limited rebound space in the short term.

MACD death cross continues, green bars expand, bears dominate.

The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with the price consistently operating at the lower band, and there are currently no obvious signs of a rebound.

📍 Short-term key points:

If BTC breaks below $81,000, support looks towards $80,000, or even $76,500.

If it can recover $82,500, a short-term long position may be attempted, but $85,000 is a key resistance level above.

📢 Summary: The four-hour level still leans bearish, pay attention to whether $81,000 can stabilize, otherwise it may continue downward.

📊 One-hour level: ultra-short-term weak consolidation, bulls lack the strength to counterattack.

From the one-hour level, BTC is still showing a weak fluctuation, and market sentiment is cautious:

The price continues to operate below the short-term moving average, with insufficient rebound momentum.

MACD is operating below the zero line, the bearish trend continues.

Bollinger Bands are closing, indicating a possible directional breakout in the short term.

📍 Short-term key points:

Pay attention to $82,500-$83,000 above, if it breaks, a short-term long position can be attempted.

Watch $81,000 below, if it breaks, it may accelerate the test of $80,000 or even lower.

📢 Summary: The short-term still leans weak, it is advised to wait for a directional breakout before taking action.

🎯 Trading suggestions

📌 Short-term trading strategy:

If it breaks $82,500, a small position can be taken long, targeting $84,500-$85,000, with a stop loss at $81,500.

If it breaks below $81,000, go short in the direction, targeting $80,000-$78,000, with a stop loss at $82,500.

📌 Medium to long-term strategy:

BTC can only turn the tide if it stabilizes above $85,000, with hopes of challenging $90,000.

If $80,000 is lost, it may further test $76,500, caution is advised.

🚀 The short-term is still at a critical decision point, with bulls and bears about to enter a new round of contest, be cautious of sudden market movements!