Discuss next week's plan, April has arrived, long position at 79500, conservatives can set long at 78700. Since we are almost at the cycle bottom, I plan to place a long order near 79500. This time, it is a long-term battle; I will enter the spot market rather than futures, as the funding rate for holding futures long-term is also not low. According to records from 2022 to now, BTC has a maximum backtest of an additional 800 points of space. This means that under the condition of a continuing bull market, its ideal upper limit will reach around 78700. From 2022 to now, BTC has hit low values twice; now it is the third time (six months earlier than before, which is my only concern, and there is also a certain chance that the large cycle may conclude, ushering in a significant four-year adjustment; blame those third-party air coins for the blood-sucking?). This time is aimed at scenarios without significant adjustments and where there is still a market. Judging the probability of a three-day upward trend: 1. Periodic selling pressure is gradually weakening, 2. Daily K-line has reached low values, 3. Periodic liquidity remains strong. Last time it hit 76606, perhaps that is the bottom of this bear market. I will set my stop loss at 75000; 75000 is not a definite level, just a precaution for additional circumstances. Reaching 75000 will result in a loss of 5.66%, which is an acceptable range. Specific preparations must consider the news front; no major black swan events can occur. In summary, this is my plan and opinion; feel free to leave your thoughts. #牛回速归 $BTC
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