The 'Dark Forest Rule' on the BNB Chain: Large Holders of AUCTION Coin Hold 19%, How Can Retail Investors Snatch From the Tiger's Mouth?

AUCTION Coin is the native token of Bounce Finance, a decentralized auction platform that focuses on on-chain asset auctions and liquidity services. Its core selling points include:

Technical Architecture: Built on the BNB Chain, supporting various auction formats such as fixed-price auctions and Dutch auctions. In 2025, it added the AI Launchpad feature, allowing users to participate in the issuance of AI proxy tokens by staking AUCTION coins.

An affiliated organization withdrew 2 million AUCTION coins from Binance through 4 addresses, instantly reducing the amount of coins on the exchange, leading to poor liquidity. With the launch of AI Launchpad (airdropping 1,000 AUCTION coins daily), the price surged from $12 to $26, a rise of 116%.

On March 23, DIF and DEA formed a dead cross above the zero axis, with the histogram shifting from positive to negative, indicating the exhaustion of bullish momentum. KDJ: The J value plummeted from the overbought zone of 90 to 25, reflecting a sharp decline in short-term market sentiment.

The current price has fallen below the upward trend line for 2024; if the weekly close does not recover, it may drop to the historical strong support level of $15. $50: Previously a dense chip area, it has now become a strong resistance level, requiring an average daily trading volume of $200 million to break through.

Currently, there are still 1.5 million AUCTION coins (accounting for 19% of the circulating supply) in the hands of large holders, which could be sold at any time.

Short-term Speculators:

Lightly position long in the $18-20 range, with a stop loss set at $15, targeting $25. If it rebounds to $28 and meets resistance, consider opening a short position, with a stop loss at $30 and a target of $18.

Long-term Investors:

Pay attention to whether the platform's transaction fee income can exceed $2 million/month (currently $500,000), as this is a key indicator of ecological health. Wait for the large holder's position ratio to drop below 10% to reduce price manipulation risk.

The extreme volatility of AUCTION coins essentially reflects a triple game of manipulation by large holders, leveraged bubbles, and hot speculation. The project party and large holders are deeply bound, leaving retail investors like 'fish meat' in a casino—either develop the ability to 'enter and exit quickly' or stay away from this bloody game. Remember: In the dark forest of cryptocurrency, surviving longer is more important than earning quickly.

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