$1000SATS $SATS Drops to New Low Follow-Up Trend Analysis

1. Current Situation

- **Following the Market Breakdown**, market sentiment is extremely pessimistic

- **Reduced Liquidity**, operators' control may strengthen

- **Contract Positions Remain High**, the long-short game has reached a fever pitch

### **2. Three Possible Directions**

**① Continued Plunge (60%)**

- Operators may completely liquidate long positions taking advantage of the market's weakness

- Target: Another drop of 20-30% (strong support zone below previous low)

- **Observation Point**: Whether large transfers to exchanges appear on-chain (selling pressure)

**② False Rebound to Lure Buyers (30%)**

- Rapidly pull back 5-10% to create a "bottom" illusion

- After attracting bottom-fishing positions, sell off again

- **Observation Point**: Whether the rebound comes with volume, and if the support orders are real

**③ Sideways Bottom Formation (10%)**

- If BTC stabilizes, it may enter a phase of oscillation and accumulation

- **Observation Point**: Whether the exchange inventory continues to decline

### **3. Operational Recommendations**

✔️ **Spot**:

- Do not catch falling knives after breaking new lows

- Consider only if stabilization signals (large bullish candles + decreasing positions) appear

❌ **Contracts**:

- Current volatility makes it very easy to get liquidated

- If trading is necessary, only do ultra-short trades (1-3% stop loss)

🔍 **Key Indicators**:

- Whether Bitcoin can maintain its downtrend

- Large transfers on the SATS chain

- Changes in large orders on the exchange order book

**⚠️ Warning**:

Operators are in full control; any operation is highly risky! It is recommended to keep most funds on the sidelines.