Support Level Price Range Logical Basis Trigger Probability
Primary Support $0.26-0.28 - Binance market maker cost area (average price of large on-chain transfers) 65%
Secondary Support $0.22-0.24 - Project party reserved treasury address (10% of total supply) Public offering chips 10x profit return 25%
Extreme Support $0.15-0.18 - Black Swan events (such as cross-chain bridge vulnerabilities) Bitcoin daily drop of 15%+ ripple effect 10%
Strategies for Three Types of Investors
1. Non-Holders
• Aggressive Strategy: Place limit orders in the $0.28-0.30 range (must meet: 4-hour RSI<45 + Binance order book buy depth > 500,000 USDT).
• Conservative Strategy: Wait for daily level pullback confirmation (three consecutive candlesticks closing above $0.28), initial position not exceeding 5%.
2. Current Holders
• Take-Profit Reference: If the price breaks through $0.35 (historical high), consider selling 20%-30% of positions in batches, keeping the base position to speculate on the ecological mainnet launch event.
• Hedging Suggestion: Open an equivalent short position on Bybit (leverage ≤3x) to hedge against Bitcoin pullback risk, time window until mid-April.
3. Institutional Investors
• OTC Opportunities: Access to early team shares through CoinList, with current OTC quotes at $0.18-0.20 (subject to a 6-month lock-up period), discount rate of 38%-42%.
• Liquidity Provision: Market making in the $0.25-0.35 range on Uniswap V3, with an estimated annualized return of 127%-215% (subject to volatility changes).
On-chain Monitoring Checklist (Real-time Alerts)
1. Market Maker Trends: If the Binance address (starting with 0x5a8) has a daily outflow of >2 million PARTI, it may indicate the end of market support.
2. Whale Activity: Track Nansen-tagged 'Smart Money' addresses, be wary of bulk transfers from the same ENS domain (such as particle.eth).
3. Contract Risks: Use Arkham to monitor multi-signature management addresses; if the team suddenly transfers treasury tokens, an emergency plan needs to be activated.
Conclusion: Minimum buying point is dynamically moving up.
The market has negated previous predictions with the involvement of institutional funds and ecological progress exceeding expectations, $0.22-0.28 will become the new value range. It is recommended to adopt a 'ladder grid + event-driven' combination strategy:
• Set buy grids at $0.28, $0.24, and $0.20 (with a 15% interval), with each layer's position increasing proportionally;
• Reserve 30% of funds to bet on the mainnet launch in April (if the testnet TVL exceeds $100 million, chase the rise on the right side).
(Note: The above analysis is based on data as of March 27, 2025, 10:00 UTC+8, and should be dynamically adjusted based on project weekly reports and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions.)#币安HODLer空投PARTI #PARTI