1. Gradual position building points
• First intervention point: $0.045-$0.05 (allocate 30% position, betting on oversold rebound) - Reason: The first rebound area after a crash, corresponding to the March 2025 low.
• Second intervention point: $0.03-$0.035 (increase position by 50%, betting on community support or project buyback) Reason: The price center for project launch in November 2024, there is community consensus.
• Ultimate defense point: $0.028 stop loss (strict stop loss for remaining 20% position) Reason: If it falls below this, it may go to zero!
2. Holding period and targets
• Short-term (1-3 days): If it rebounds to $0.07-$0.08 (previous liquidation dense area), it is recommended to take profits on 50%.
• Mid-term (1-2 weeks): A breakout above $0.12 (price before Binance announcement) is needed to confirm a trend reversal, otherwise treat it as a consolidation.
3. Risk hedging
• Simultaneously short ACT/USDT perpetual contracts (hedging against spot decline risk, leverage not exceeding 3 times)
• Allocate BTC or ETH as a safe-haven asset (accounting for at least 30% of total funds)
4. News monitoring checklist
1. Binance official movements: Monitor whether they restore ACT contract leverage or launch liquidity support plans
2. Wintermute behavior: On-chain monitoring of whether its wallet is reinjecting liquidity
3. Community response: Is there a collective support action in Discord and Telegram groups?
4. Macroeconomics: US tariff policy and Fed interest rate decisions may affect overall market risk appetite
Conclusion
Currently, $0.055 is close to the first intervention zone, but it is recommended to wait for $0.045-$0.05 to initiate the first position. If market panic intensifies or Binance implements additional restrictive measures, the target needs to be adjusted to $0.03. The extreme volatility of MEME coins requires investors to strictly adhere to position discipline, avoiding a single investment exceeding 5% of total funds.
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