**Odds of US Buying Bitcoin in 2025 Only 30%, Says Bloomberg Analyst**
A Bloomberg analyst has advised investors to temper their expectations regarding the U.S. government purchasing Bitcoin in 2025. While President Trump established a Bitcoin reserve through an executive order, the likelihood of the government actively buying more Bitcoin remains low, with the analyst estimating just a 30% chance.
The executive order created a reserve using seized Bitcoin and directed the Treasury and Commerce Secretaries to explore "budget-neutral strategies" to expand it. However, the specifics of these strategies remain unclear.
According to a March 21 note shared by Matt Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, the Bloomberg analyst emphasized that there is "little chance" the U.S. government will purchase Bitcoin or other crypto assets for its reserve in 2025. The analyst pointed out that if President Trump wanted to buy Bitcoin, he could have used mechanisms like the $39 billion Exchange Stabilization Fund, which is available for various purposes, including stabilizing the dollar or providing foreign aid.
The analyst also noted that passing legislation through Congress to support Trump’s executive order is unlikely before the 2026 mid-term elections, citing the Republican party’s slim majority and expected Democratic opposition.
However, not all analysts share this pessimistic outlook. VanEck’s Matt Sigel believes the odds are closer to 50-60%, suggesting a higher chance of the U.S. adding to its Bitcoin reserve.
Meanwhile, Bo Hines, executive director of the president’s crypto working group, remains optimistic, stating that there are "countless ideas" for the government to expand its Bitcoin reserve, with the "best ideas" likely to be implemented.
What are your thoughts on the U.S. government’s potential involvement in Bitcoin? Let us know in the comments!
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