🔔 WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THE CRYPTO MARKET IN THE NEXT FEW MONTHS?

The main market sentiment indicator has plunged to the extreme over the past few weeks.

Note in the image that a month ago we entered the "fear" zone and have not evolved from it since.

There was a very rapid change in perspectives.

Many issues weighed negatively and scared away investors with less than 1 year in the market and new entrants, as many entered through the memecoin $TRUMP , which was extremely harmful to the inexperienced and the scandals like that of Milei and so many other celebrities who created their garbage to profit from the greed of those who believe in miracles.

Everything that impacts the American stock market also weighs on general sentiment, such as the macroeconomic scenario of trade wars, Trump's tariffs, the unusual pro-Putin positioning, and the like.

The scenario remains full of uncertainty and the FED preferred to stay "neutral".

This means we will have new triggers, both upward and downward.

Everything mentioned above is already somewhat priced in.

If the American stock market, which entered a technical correction, continues to plunge further, declines in crypto are inevitable.

Since we do not have liquidity injections in the markets, the dependence on the American stock market, given the high correlation, is even greater.

On the other hand, a consistent reaction from Nasdaq tends to bring back the enthusiasm for the crypto market, fueling what should be the last major upward leg of the cycle.

How am I positioned for the scenario?

1. I significantly reduced the percentage of altcoins, especially the smaller ones;

2. I am holding a robust cash position in $USDC ;

3. I remain positioned with 70% of the crypto portfolio in $BTC ;

4. Crypto was 40% of my portfolio in December. Today it is 30%.