“The global market holds its breath, the Bitcoin storm is about to hit!”
1. Market Background and Core Dynamics
The global financial market is迎来关键决策夜, market sentiment is tense:
• 18:00 Eurozone February CPI data, determining the European inflation trend, affecting the ECB's policy direction.
• 02:00 Federal Reserve interest rate decision & economic outlook summary, whether the dot plot releases dovish signals is crucial.
• 02:30 Powell press conference, his speech may directly trigger violent market fluctuations.
The current market generally expects the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in March, but if the dot plot suggests a faster pace of future rate cuts, it may drive capital back into the market, pushing prices up; if hawkish surprises occur, it may trigger risk-averse sentiment, putting pressure on risk assets.
2. Technical Analysis (BTC)
Support Levels:
1. $81,100 (short-term low, falling below may trigger more selling)
2. $80,000 (key psychological level, needs close attention)
3. $75,000 (strong support area, dropping to this level may present a buying opportunity)
Key Levels:
1. $85,500 (short-term resistance, breaking through may lead to accelerated rise)
2. $87,500 (key for restoring bull confidence)
3. $90,000 (breaking through may open up a new round of upward space)
3. Short-term Long and Short Contract Strategies
Long Strategy
• Entry: Breakthrough $85,500 to enter
• Stop Loss: $84,500
• Take Profit: $87,500
Short Strategy
• Entry: Drop below $81,100 to enter
• Stop Loss: $82,000
• Take Profit: $80,000
Before the Federal Reserve's decision is announced, Bitcoin is likely to maintain volatility. If the decision leans dovish, the market may rise, and BTC is expected to challenge $87,500-$90,000; if hawkish surprises occur, the market may drop towards $80,000-$81,100, or even test lower support.
A market storm is about to erupt, the turning point is just around the corner!