What do you mean by hoarding coins? Buying any coin is just a matter of luck. If you think you can win the lottery, then go for it.
To put it scientifically, let's take contracts as an example. There are only two directions: going long and going short. You could either call an old lady or flip a coin, and if you do it infinitely, you would still have a 50% win rate. This is hard to refute.
If you are willing to work hard, spending six months digesting most trading books and building your own trading system, can you increase your win rate by 1%? Just 1%. No need for more. If you currently have a win rate of 51%, each time you strictly stop loss and take profit, your ratio must exceed 1:1.5. This means that for every trade, if you lose, you lose 1, and if you profit, you gain 1.5.
So over the long term, excluding transaction fees, you only need a 40% win rate to ensure you neither lose nor gain. If you have a 50% win rate, you can achieve a 50% profit over 100 trades, even if your win-loss ratio is 1:1. With a 50% win rate, you neither lose nor gain. Taking 5-minute short trades as an example, there are many opportunities in a day. Let's assume you make 5 trades a day, 50 trades over 10 days, and 100 trades over 20 days. At a 1:1.5 win-loss ratio,
the returns over 20 days could reach 50%. Assuming you have 1000u, then mechanically counting after 240 days, you could exceed 1 million. If the win-loss ratio is only 1:1 and the win rate is only 51%, then after 3 years, your 1000u could turn into 1 million. Of course, those who know how to trade will definitely not do trades with a win-loss ratio of 1:1.
In the case of contract trades with a win-loss ratio of 1:1.5 and a 50% win rate, using 10x leverage on your entire position presents a liquidation risk of 0.8%. However, if you add the extra 1% win rate gained from your hard work, there will be no liquidation risk, provided that each trade strictly adheres to stop loss and take profit.
So work hard to learn, study like it's the college entrance examination, and then mechanically apply what you've learned. Don't be influenced by others' words; anything can be achieved through long-term perseverance, and the crypto world is no different.
In the end, you will find that the hardest part is not the technology, not whether to go long or short, not the amount of capital, 1 million is not a luxury, but how to overcome your own humanity. When you have 1000u or 10000u, can you maintain your mindset? What about 50000u? What about 100000u? Even a second's fluctuation can make you panic. If you can remain calm and your thoughts stable when facing huge amounts of money, then congratulations, you are not far from success; the goal of 1 million is small.
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