Bearish sentiment is thriving right now
But this was actually the last flash crash before the huge pump
I researched all the data: Here is current macro, why we are going to pump hard and when🧵👇🏻
➮ Before we start..
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Thanks and let's dive in👇
1/➮ The number of flash crashes has indeed increased significantly since Trump's inauguration
🕷 At the same time, there were days when the market erased ~$300B or more, which almost never happened before
🕷 All of this immediately leads to the thought that the market might be manipulated
That’s exactly the case:
2/➮ Crypto is performing so poorly right now that many are starting to compare this period to the FTX collapse
🕷 But that’s an exaggeration, and things aren’t actually that bad
🕷 Even considering that most of the crowd has lost billions or even completely capitulated
But let’s break down why this is happening:
3/➮ I believe that at the moment, Trump is actively pursuing two goals:
- Lowering interest rates
- Reduce the cost of servicing national debt
🕷 Both goals are directly related to the need to reduce inflation, and accordingly, cutting rates
Let's dive in more👇
4/➮ Cutting rates directly affects the inflow of large capital into the market
🕷 This, in turn, makes loans cheaper, ultimately pushing most players to take on more risk
🕷 Yes, the situation might seem uncertain if not for 2019-2020
🕷 After all, the same scenario was played out back then
5/➮ That’s why Trump started tariff wars, which led to hedge funds selling global stocks at their fastest pace
🕷 Because of this, the stock market is falling, and crypto, being a more risky market, has completely crashed
6/➮ This is exactly why we have such a bearish sentiment right now, due to such a sharp, large drop
🕷 Which, for many, has triggered associations with FTX
🕷 But in fact, if we break it down and zoom out, we can see a clear picture that’s not so bad
Considering everything said above, in the short term, I think we’re either going to hit or remain in consolidation
🕷 But long-term, I’m very bullish
🕷 If U.S. reserves, Bitcoin purchases by Trump and other countries start, then the influx of capital we’ll see will be unlike anything we’ve witnessed before
🕷 The only reason to be bearish right now is the state of the global economy as a whole and the threat of WW3
🕷 At the moment, I’m actively accumulating ETH, and I’ve written about it several times already
🕷 If you haven’t entered the market, the price range of $1800-$1900 is more than attractive in terms of risk/reward
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