According to the latest market data on March 14, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is showing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears today, with specific analysis as follows:
1. Price Fluctuations and Key Levels
Intraday Low Points and Support
In the early hours today, ETH briefly dropped to a low of $1714, then rebounded to around $1714, but overall remains pressured at the psychological level of $1750. Technically, $1700 (daily MA30) and $1530 are key support levels; if broken, it may trigger further declines.
Resistance Levels and Rebound Resistance
Current main resistance levels are concentrated at $1800 (previous high/hourly midline) and $1850 (CME futures gap). If the price stabilizes at $1800 and breaks through $1850, it may initiate a trending upward movement; conversely, it may continue to adjust.
2. Technical Analysis Perspective
Short-term technical signals
On the 12-hour chart, ETH continues to close below the five-day moving average, KDJ is turning south, and the main chart MA5 is pressing down, indicating a possible bearish volume surge in the early morning or today.
The spot ETF (ETH.AM) fell by 1.58% today, with a volatility of 4.30%, indicating fluctuations in market liquidity.
Long-term trend support
Based on historical data, ETH may face a wide range of fluctuations between $1800 (neutral scenario) and $1575 (optimistic scenario) in 2025, with the current price at the upper edge of the long-term support range.
3. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow
Short-term sentiment is cautious
The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 22 (extreme fear), with over $1 billion liquidated in the last 24 hours, indicating weak market sentiment. However, the U.S. spot ETH ETF ended a consecutive outflow with a net inflow of $13.3 million in a single day, indicating some funds are flowing back.
Long-term favorable factors
The Ethereum 2.0 upgrade is continuously advancing, and the staking mechanism is attracting long-term capital inflows, which may reduce circulation and form price support.
The DeFi and NFT ecosystem continues to expand, with the total locked value (TVL) in DeFi expected to exceed $300 billion by 2025.
4. Trading Recommendations
Short-term Strategy:
If the price stabilizes at $1800, you can take a small long position with a target of $1850; if it breaks below $1700, consider shorting with a target of $1650.
Long-term Layout:
If it falls back to the $1600-$1700 range, you can gradually build a position in spot, with a medium-term target of $2000.
Summary
Today's ETH movement is influenced by technical adjustments and macro sentiment. In the short term, focus on the validity of the $1700 support and the breakthrough situation of the $1800 resistance. Market sentiment remains cautious; it is recommended that investors operate flexibly based on their own risk tolerance.
