Currently, the cryptocurrency market is in a phase of sideways movement, creating a sense of uncertainty among traders. However, if we analyze recent patterns of behavior among major players, we can see a pattern: artificially created news and sentiments lead to sharp price spikes and drops.
Personally, I expect this scenario for March 2025:
March 18-20 — a sharp decline is likely after a series of negative news. There may be reports of new regulatory measures, scandals on major exchanges, or mass liquidations. At this moment, Bitcoin may drop to $70,000–$75,000, triggering panic selling.
March 25-27 — a sudden positive news background. There may be announcements about new institutional investments, the launch of ETFs, or other fundamental support. This will drive the market up, and the price will start to rise rapidly.
March 30-31 — the maximum growth peak. Here, market makers will start to distribute positions, taking advantage of the excitement created by artificially positive news.
The USDT and stablecoin factor
Starting March 31, there will be a ban on trading in USDT, FDUSD, and other stablecoins in the Eurozone. This will force European investors to urgently convert their assets into cryptocurrency, creating additional demand. This will be the final catalyst for growth.
April 1 — a day of sharp collapse. After most investors have 'poured' their stablecoins into crypto, market makers will initiate a mass asset dump, provoking a severe drop.
How to act in such a situation?
1. Do not succumb to panic March 18-20 — this is a manipulation for liquidity collection.
2. Use March 25-27 to secure part of the profit.
3. Do not buy on the hype March 30-31 — this is a trap for retail investors.
4. If entering the market, do so in advance, during the dip on March 18-20, and with clear exit targets.
Time will truly show whether this was just my guesses or if the market is being ruthlessly manipulated...
Wishing everyone profitable trades and a good mood ;)