Liangzi is bragging again: the US stock market will circuit-break in July, and he dares to say Bitcoin will drop to 63,000!
Liangxi is making bold claims again! Predicts that before July, the US stock market will circuit-break, BTC will drop to 63,000 USD, ETH will test 1,300 USD, saying that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction and Trump's trade war will cause a double whammy, leading to bloodshed in the cryptocurrency market. He also mentioned that the balance sheet reduction will end in June and interest rates will be cut, and that Trump will ease relations with the chairman, leading to economic recovery. It's hard to discern the truth, let's break it down!
Prediction Analysis
US Stock Market Circuit Break: Liangxi refers to the balance sheet reduction before July being bearish and the impact of the trade war. Yesterday, the US stock market dropped by 2.7%, the Nasdaq fell by 4%. If the balance sheet reduction continues until June and is compounded by an escalation in the trade war, the probability of a circuit break is questionable but not baseless.
BTC/ETH Bottom: BTC currently at 81,100 USD may drop to 63,000 USD (a drop of 22%), ETH currently at 1,951 USD may drop to 1,300 USD (a drop of 33%), a major crisis needs to trigger this; yesterday BTC had a low of 76,500 USD which shows signs.
Time Point: June will mark the end of the balance sheet reduction + rumors mid-June of Trump meeting with Xi, Liangxi bets on interest rate cuts + trade easing, the logic is bold but lacks solid evidence.
Reality Check
Market: BTC stabilizes at 80,000, ETH rises by 3%, the trade war has just started (Binance received a 2 billion dollar investment), no signs of a collapse in the short term.
Risk: If CPI exceeds expectations tonight, the pressure from the balance sheet reduction may accelerate, and a simultaneous drop in the US stock market and cryptocurrency market is not impossible.
Future Outlook
Short-term: If BTC holds at 80,000, it can push to 90,000; if it breaks below 78,000 USD, it may test 70,000; if ETH breaks below 1,900 USD, the downward trend will accelerate.
July: If Liangxi is right, 63,000 USD and 1,300 USD will be the bottom; if the trade war eases, a rebound in September is expected. Do you believe it? 😂
Liangxi bragging about the US stock market circuit break and BTC at 63,000, is he really saying it or just pure hype? In-depth analysis will help you see through it, follow for more updates, more exciting content on the homepage.