#交易分析101

As of March 12, 2025, the price of Bitcoin is fluctuating violently in the range of $82,000 to $83,000, with an intraday amplitude exceeding 2.69%. Although the short-term technical indicators show a pullback pressure (MACD momentum is weak, and the resistance level of $83,000 has not been effectively broken), the long-term bullish logic remains solid: the current price has retreated nearly 30% from its peak, consistent with historical bull market pullback patterns, and a phase bottom may have formed around $76,606. Institutions such as Standard Chartered Bank reaffirm the long-term target price of $250,000, supported primarily by the supply contraction post-halving, potential capital inflow from ETFs, and technological upgrades like the Lightning Network. If the price can effectively break through the resistance level of $84,123, the hourly structure will shift to an upward trend, potentially initiating a new cycle of rebound towards $105,000. Investors should pay attention to the key psychological support at $80,000, seizing the opportunity to accumulate positions after a pullback, and patiently await the trend after the market sentiment and policy disruptions have been digested.