#交易分析101

Bitcoin trend analysis combines three aspects: technical, fundamental, and sentiment. Technical analysis shows that BTC may fluctuate in the range of $60,000-$70,000, with a support level around $62,000 and a resistance level around $68,000. An RSI below 30 suggests an oversold rebound, and increased trading volume can confirm the trend. In terms of fundamentals, macroeconomic factors (such as interest rate cuts), institutional buying, and the halving effect may favor the long-term trend, but short-term policy risks should be watched. If on-chain data shows that long-term holders are accumulating, the bottom is more stable. In sentiment analysis, discussions in X and the fear and greed index being neutral (40-50) indicate that the market is not extreme yet. In summary, BTC may wait for a breakout in the short term; if it breaks above $68,000, it could look toward $75,000, while a drop below $62,000 may lead to a decline to $60,000. The mid to long-term is driven by fundamentals, potentially testing $80,000-$100,000. Newbies are advised to buy at support levels, reduce positions at resistance levels, set stop-losses, and manage risks, utilizing Binance or TradingView to track real-time data.