[Macroeconomic Market Background]
Today's cryptocurrency market continued the dramatic volatility pattern dominated by policy. Although the 'Strategic Crypto Reserve Plan' announced by the Trump administration continues to ferment, the market's doubts about policy implementation and macroeconomic pressures are in a tug-of-war, with Bitcoin (BTC) oscillating in the $85,000-$90,000 range, while Ethereum (ETH) has risen against the trend to above $2,400 due to strong demand for Layer 2 ecosystem expansion.
👉 Data Verification: Please be sure to check real-time signals through buyx.ink before operating, and be cautious of instantaneous fluctuations caused by geopolitical emergencies.
(This analysis is based on publicly available market data and policy dynamics, and does not constitute investment advice. The risks of trading digital currencies are extremely high, please make cautious decisions.)
Key Driving Factors:
Policy Game: Although Trump's crypto reserve plan (including BTC, ETH, XRP, etc.) has boosted some mainstream currencies, institutions like JPMorgan point out that Congressional approval is difficult and state governments (such as Montana) have clearly refused to support it, cooling market expectations for short-term benefits.
Economic Data Impact: The U.S. non-farm payroll data released on March 7 exceeded expectations, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.8%, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts, putting pressure on risk assets.
Geopolitical Risks: The tense situation in the Middle East has pushed oil prices to $120/barrel, exacerbating inflation concerns, and funds are flowing into safe-haven assets like gold, indirectly suppressing cryptocurrency liquidity.
[Recommended Buy Currency Analysis] 🔥
**#TRX (TRON)**
Logic: The TRON ecosystem recently announced a partnership with El Salvador to develop a CBDC cross-border payment system, with a 23% weekly increase in active on-chain addresses, and the technical analysis has broken through the daily triangle convergence pattern, with a short-term target of $0.18.
Risks: Attention needs to be paid to the progress of cooperative implementation and the policy risks of competitors (such as XRP).
**#AUCTİON (Bounce Finance)**
Logic: The NFT auction platform Bounce has launched an AI-based on-chain liquidity optimization protocol, with TVL increasing by 40% in a single week. The technical analysis shows a rebound after testing the 30-day moving average, and the RSI indicator shows strong demand for oversold recovery.
**#XAUT (Tether Gold)**
Logic: Geopolitical risks are driving a surge in demand for gold-linked XAUT, with a monthly increase of 58% in on-chain holding addresses. The technical analysis has broken through the weekly descending channel, and under the strengthened safe-haven attributes, it may challenge the $2,500 resistance level.
[Suggested Sell Currency Analysis] ⚠️
**#SOLV (Solv Protocol)**
Logic: Although Solv announced the integration of a multi-chain yield aggregator, its token unlock volume surged this week (accounting for 12% of total circulation), and the on-chain whale addresses are continuously reducing their holdings. The technical analysis shows a 'double top' structure, and if the support level of $1.2 is broken, it will accelerate downward.
**#APT (Aptos)**
Logic: The delay of APT's mainnet upgrade has caused dissatisfaction in the developer community, resulting in a 35% weekly decline in on-chain DEX trading volume. The technical indicators have broken below the 200-day moving average, and the MACD indicator is showing a death cross, with a short-term target looking down to $6.8.
Other Risky Currencies (#pi and #LAYER, etc.)
Logic: Community governance tokens (like PI) and infrastructure projects (like LAYER) are the first to be affected in a tightening liquidity environment. #XCH is facing weakened fundamentals due to intensified competition in the storage sector (with Filecoin launching smart contracts).
[Key Risk Warning]
Policy Implementation Risk: Trump's reserve plan requires legislative support from Congress. If the Senate hearing on March 10 does not provide clear signals, the market may retract its gains.
Technical Pressure: If Bitcoin fails to hold above $90,000, it could trigger a 'head and shoulders' pattern on the 4-hour level, with the risk of a sharp drop to $82,000 still present.
Liquidity Trap: Market trading volume typically shrinks by 20%-30% over the weekend, and high-leverage contracts (especially altcoins) are prone to sharp explosions. It is recommended to control the leverage ratio within 2x.
[Operational Suggestions]
Buying Strategy:
#TRX can be built around $0.15, with a stop loss at $0.142, targeting a rise of 15%-20%;
#XAUT adopts a 'pyramid accumulation method', increasing holdings by 10% for every breakthrough of $50.
Selling Strategy:
#SOLV should take partial profits when rebounding to the $1.5 resistance level, and exit the entire position if it falls below $1.2.
#APT can be shorted if it rebounds to $7.5, with a stop loss at $8.0.
Position Management: Total position should not exceed 25%, with defensive allocations (such as XAUT) increasing to 40%.
