Crypto PM
--
Crypto Bull Market 9 Key Signs
I've seen a lot of market cycles, and I’ve got to say… what I’m seeing now is shocking.
If you're riding the bull market wave, you need to know when to exit—not too early, not too late. I’ve spent years studying how to time it just right, and I’m here to share the 9 key indicators that can help predict when we’re reaching the top.
Ignore this if you want... but I wouldn’t. 👇
1️⃣ The Altcoin Season Index 🪙
Ever noticed how, near the market’s peak, altcoins start pumping harder than BTC? That’s what this indicator tracks.
✅ When the index crosses 75, altcoins are flying—usually a sign that we’re close to the top.
2️⃣ The 22-Day RSI 📊
A short-term RSI spike can hint at overheated markets, but the 22-day RSI is next-level accurate at calling peaks.
✅ When it goes above 90, the market has historically topped out within 3 to 6 weeks.
3️⃣ 4-Year Moving Average Deviation 📈
Crypto moves in four-year cycles, and this metric shows how far BTC has strayed from its long-term trend.
✅ If the price diverges too much, charts light up with red or orange circles—a flashing warning that we’re nearing a peak.
4️⃣ MVRV Z-Score 🔍
Think of this as the "fair value" detector. It measures how overpriced Bitcoin is compared to its actual value.
✅ When the MVRV Z-Score crosses 3, Bitcoin has historically hit a cycle top soon after.
5️⃣ Pi Cycle Top Indicator 🤖
This one is legendary. It has predicted Bitcoin’s cycle tops THREE times.
✅ It triggers when the 111-day moving average crosses above 2x the 350-day moving average.
Whenever this happens, Bitcoin is usually about to reverse sharply.
6️⃣ NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) 😵💸
This measures whether traders are sitting on huge unrealized profits—a sign of market euphoria.
✅ When NUPL hits 75% or more, it means most people are deep in profit, and that’s when markets often start to roll over.
7️⃣ Composite Business Cycle Indicator 📉
This is an under-the-radar metric, but it’s powerful.
✅ When it rises above 50-52, it signals that we’re in the late-stage of the market cycle—aka time to be cautious.
8️⃣ Mayer Multiple ⚖️
This compares Bitcoin’s price to its 200-day moving average to determine if it’s overbought.
✅ If it crosses 2.4, BTC has historically been at or near its peak.
Right now? We’re still under that level, meaning there could be more room for growth before a top.
9️⃣ BTC Rainbow Chart 🌈
This is a fan-favorite, visually mapping out market phases based on price trends.
✅ Currently, it suggests we’re in the accumulation phase—a good time to stack more BTC.
But here’s a little extra tip:
When EVERYONE you know—your cousin, your barber, even your Uber driver—starts talking about how much they’re making in crypto, 🚨 that’s a huge red flag. Extreme euphoria = market top incoming.
🚀 Final Thoughts
Timing the top is never easy, but these 9 indicators can help you make smarter exit decisions.
💡 If you found this helpful:
🔹 Bookmark this for later
🔹 Share it with your fellow traders
🔹 Follow @Crypto PM for more insights
Stay sharp, and don’t let greed cloud your judgment! 🚀
#JobsReportShock #BullRunAhead #TexasBTCReserveBill #Trump’sExecutiveOrder #MarketPullback
If you're riding the bull market wave, you need to know when to exit—not too early, not too late. I’ve spent years studying how to time it just right, and I’m here to share the 9 key indicators that can help predict when we’re reaching the top.
Ignore this if you want... but I wouldn’t. 👇
1️⃣ The Altcoin Season Index 🪙
Ever noticed how, near the market’s peak, altcoins start pumping harder than BTC? That’s what this indicator tracks.
✅ When the index crosses 75, altcoins are flying—usually a sign that we’re close to the top.
2️⃣ The 22-Day RSI 📊
A short-term RSI spike can hint at overheated markets, but the 22-day RSI is next-level accurate at calling peaks.
✅ When it goes above 90, the market has historically topped out within 3 to 6 weeks.
3️⃣ 4-Year Moving Average Deviation 📈
Crypto moves in four-year cycles, and this metric shows how far BTC has strayed from its long-term trend.
✅ If the price diverges too much, charts light up with red or orange circles—a flashing warning that we’re nearing a peak.
4️⃣ MVRV Z-Score 🔍
Think of this as the "fair value" detector. It measures how overpriced Bitcoin is compared to its actual value.
✅ When the MVRV Z-Score crosses 3, Bitcoin has historically hit a cycle top soon after.
5️⃣ Pi Cycle Top Indicator 🤖
This one is legendary. It has predicted Bitcoin’s cycle tops THREE times.
✅ It triggers when the 111-day moving average crosses above 2x the 350-day moving average.
Whenever this happens, Bitcoin is usually about to reverse sharply.
6️⃣ NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) 😵💸
This measures whether traders are sitting on huge unrealized profits—a sign of market euphoria.
✅ When NUPL hits 75% or more, it means most people are deep in profit, and that’s when markets often start to roll over.
7️⃣ Composite Business Cycle Indicator 📉
This is an under-the-radar metric, but it’s powerful.
✅ When it rises above 50-52, it signals that we’re in the late-stage of the market cycle—aka time to be cautious.
8️⃣ Mayer Multiple ⚖️
This compares Bitcoin’s price to its 200-day moving average to determine if it’s overbought.
✅ If it crosses 2.4, BTC has historically been at or near its peak.
Right now? We’re still under that level, meaning there could be more room for growth before a top.
9️⃣ BTC Rainbow Chart 🌈
This is a fan-favorite, visually mapping out market phases based on price trends.
✅ Currently, it suggests we’re in the accumulation phase—a good time to stack more BTC.
But here’s a little extra tip:
When EVERYONE you know—your cousin, your barber, even your Uber driver—starts talking about how much they’re making in crypto, 🚨 that’s a huge red flag. Extreme euphoria = market top incoming.
🚀 Final Thoughts
Timing the top is never easy, but these 9 indicators can help you make smarter exit decisions.
💡 If you found this helpful:
🔹 Bookmark this for later
🔹 Share it with your fellow traders
🔹 Follow @Crypto PM for more insights
Stay sharp, and don’t let greed cloud your judgment! 🚀
#JobsReportShock #BullRunAhead #TexasBTCReserveBill #Trump’sExecutiveOrder #MarketPullback
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.