Fed Rate Decision: Market Expectations (Mar 7)

📅 March Meeting Odds:

✅ Rate cut (25bps): Just 9% chance

❌ No change: 91% likelihood

📉 Looking Ahead to May:

🔹 50bps total cut: 4% chance

🔹 25bps total cut: 45.3% probability

🔹 No change: 50.7% expectation

💡 Key Takeaway: The Fed isn’t in a rush to slash rates. Markets are betting on a cautious approach, with deep cuts unlikely anytime soon.

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