Given the four-day window, I’ll extrapolate from current data and sentiment:
Bullish Case: If the double bottom holds at $140 and oversold conditions trigger buying, SOL could test $150 (resistance) or climb higher to $155–$160, aligning with CoinCodex’s short-term optimism (9.96% over a month, so ~2–3% in four days from $144). This assumes volume picks up and fear subsides.
Bearish Case: If rejection at the 50 EMA ($144–$145) persists (@GrimDegen
), SOL could slide to $125–$130, or even $30–$40 in an extreme Elliott Wave scenario (@neuscaster
). This hinges on sustained selling post-unlock or a broader market drop.
Base Case: With sideways trends noted (@gemxbt_agent
), SOL might oscillate between $140 and $150, settling near $142–$145 as the market digests the unlock and awaits new catalysts.
Final Estimate
Considering the balance of evidence:
Starting at $144 (midpoint of current range),
Accounting for volatility (13.07% over 30 days ≈ 0.44% daily, or ~1.76% over four days),
Factoring in mixed sentiment (oversold but bearish signals),
I estimate SOL could range between $150and $170 by 5 PM UTC+7 on March 9, 2025. My best guess, leaning toward stabilization post-unlock and slight bullish momentum from oversold conditions, is ~$145–$147. This assumes no major external shocks (e.g., Bitcoin crash or Solana outage) and gradual absorption of the new supply.
The information provided is for educational purposes only. none financial advice. DYOR!
