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V didn't attend the cryptocurrency conference at the White House
很大很大的橙子
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还好昨天数据出来之前进去了,要不然这波得踏空,前面说的重要经济数据前大跌,数据公布后会大涨,这个规律目前是有效的$ETH
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一般来说,发布重要经济数据之前如果下跌,那么发布之后上涨的概率会相对较大,反之亦然,因此这个时间点可以适当做多一点,有空单的话也可以先降低空单持仓量,我的空单基本到成本线了,所以卖掉了,现在买了点现货,纳斯达克期货指数现在是上涨的,估计现在补缺口可能会推迟。 补缺口的话可能会存在,但是不一定能等得到我来操作,所以稳妥点,之前有做套保,所以这波算是小赚了点
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一般补缺口是第二天补,一周内补的概率相对较小,当然也有几个月之后补缺口的,概率就更小了,比如去年大选的拉盘,今年三月份才补的,跨度时间也比较长,所以当时从概率上来讲,第二天发现有缺口,可以适当开一点空单,当然仓位一般要谨慎一些
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接下来BTC大概率要补缺口了,CME缺口在114000附近,到这个点位的话,可以考虑买入现货,我之前在117000的时候买了一些空单,当时判断回调判断早了,但是一般来说,快速上涨之后都会有回调,尤其是主力在凌晨5点的时候拉盘,那时候CME交易刚好休市1小时(5:00-6:00),主力意图特别明显,所以有补缺口的需求
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#BinanceTurns8 $ETH ETH可能会有不错的表现,现在ETH溢价有点高,这周市场需要山寨牛,当然本月降息的概率还是降低了
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