#BTC走势分析

1. Positioning Conditions

Aggressive: Enter a light long position at the current price of 84,648 (position ≤ 5%)

Conservative: Wait for the price to stabilize at the middle track of 84,750 before entering on a retracement that does not break

2. Risk Control Points

Stop loss set uniformly at 83,500 (below the lower Bollinger band)

If it breaks 83,000, decisively stop loss (breaking this level will open up space to 78,258)

3. Profit Path

First target 85,981 (upper Bollinger band), reduce position by 50%

Second target 86,558 (24h high), push remaining position to protect stop loss

Breakthrough of 87,000 can allow for incremental position increase (must be accompanied by trading volume > 5 billion USDT)

Key Conclusion

Currently in an oversold rebound cycle, it is recommended to focus on the strategy of "going long on breakthrough of the middle track + short on upper track reversal". Pay close attention to the volume changes in the range of 84,700-85,981, maintain light position operations until a clear trend appears, avoiding unilateral heavy bets. $BTC