The market in March will improve, and it is expected that March will generally be a rebound!

Key dates to focus on in March: around March 8 and March 21 (Spring Equinox),

Historically, Bitcoin often experiences a change in trend during such solar terms or Fibonacci cycles.

March is mostly a period of rebound and repair (refer to the trends in March 2020/2021),

If the current decline has reached around: 83,800 near bull-bear prices, it may trigger a monthly level rebound. Falling first then rising (probability 60%).

If it breaks below (83,000-84,000 range) at the beginning of March, forming the "last drop", followed by a rebound in mid-March, the target: 95,000-100,000.

Direct rise (probability 40%): needs to stabilize above the weekly line: 90,000, and break the downward trend line with volume; otherwise, beware of fake breakouts.

Mid to long-term layout suggestions for March:

Falling first then rising scenario:

Spot buying in batches:

First purchase: 83,000-84,000, position 30%.

Second purchase: 78,000, increase position by 30%.

Third purchase: reserve: 40% position.

Analysis of market rhythm in response to dog-style behavior and trading psychology:

Main players often use "slow decline fast pull" to wash out leveraged long positions, currently not touching 78,888 or due to institutional buy orders supporting the market below.

Countermeasure: abandon precise bottom fishing, adopt "batch orders + grid trading", set multiple buy orders in the 83,000-78,000 range (every 500U as a level).

March script: the probability of falling first then rising is greater, 83,000 is the decisive battle zone for bulls and bears; if it breaks below, panic selling may occur; if it stabilizes, a rebound will start.

Core risk: the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in March, and the correction of U.S. tech stocks transmitting to the crypto market.

#BTC