Don't think just because a few points drop that a bear market is here. Does it have to rise every day to be considered a bull market? What gives the market the right to let you make money? If everyone is making money, who is losing? It's just a game of wealth transfer; if you can't play, go home and farm. You have no analysis standards, no personal trading rules, and you follow market sentiments like a gray wolf howling every day. If you can't convince one person, at least try to convince another. Since you don't have trading standards, use indicators to replace your decisions.
Bull Market Peak Escape Signal Indicator Checklist Data Model
To help my brothers understand the escape checklist more clearly, I have created an hourglass model.
🟠 The hourglass model has been updated to cover 128 (+15) cryptocurrency market peak escape indicators including:
🔲 Price type indicators: such as MicroStrategy holdings tracking, rainbow chart indicators, seed god indicators, PI indicators, etc.
🔲 Mainstream type indicators: bubble index, gold to BTC ratio multiplier, 4-year average line, RSI, etc.
🔲 Comprehensive type indicators: CBBI, BTI indicators, etc.
🔲 On-chain data indicators: MVRV, Puell Multiple, NUPL, Reserve Risk, changes in long-term BTC holders, etc.
🔲 Altcoin season indicators: altcoin season index, altcoin market cap analysis, altcoin fund inflow analysis, etc.
🔲 Time period type indicators: including historical data inference, significant time nodes in the crypto space (interest rate cuts and hikes, halving, policy release nodes, etc.).
🔲 Observational indicators: including USDT interest rates, ETF data, number of shares held by listed companies, macro indicators related to US stocks, CPI, PPI, PMI, etc.
🟠 Hourglass data explanation:
🔲 The hourglass model has selected a total of 143 indicators as analysis factors, with 32 of them displayed as daily briefing types (easy to understand), and over 100 as backend cross-validation types (charts, materials that require understanding). Among them, 28 indicators have been validated in the previous two bull markets.
🔲 I will update the hourglass model every Sunday. Currently, the score is 45 points. When the score exceeds 70, we start to issue warnings; when it exceeds 80 points, we consider it approaching the bull market peak stage; when it hits over 90 points, we enter a market frenzy state; and when it exceeds 95 points, it is considered the last celebration. Additionally, apart from the fixed cross-validation indicators, other indicators will turn red when they hit, and when the indicators drop below 50%, we start issuing warnings.