Given that BTC has just fallen below the 24-hour low, deepseek has updated its short-term strategy again:

Operational suggestions based on the current breakout signal (data at 15:13)

Key breakout signal

The price falls below the lower track of the daily line: The current price of 90,419 USDT has fallen below the lower track of the daily Bollinger band of 92,952, and the technical side has entered the oversold area, but we need to be wary of the inertia of the decline.

MACD short position strengthening: The difference between DIF and DEA has widened (MACD column -1,390), and the short position momentum has not been exhausted.

Trading volume verification: 24-hour trading volume is 3.84 billion USDT (large volume decline), and the credibility of the breakout is high.

Three types of response strategies

Emergency operation of holders

Stop loss trigger: If the stop loss was previously set near 92,952 (lower track), the stop loss should be executed immediately to avoid further losses.

Unstopped loss: The current price of 90,419 has fallen below the previous low of 90,355. It is recommended to reduce at least 50% of the position, and observe the support strength of 89,000 (the extension of the lower track of the weekly line) for the remaining part.

Short pursuit strategy

Add short position: The price rebounds to 91,000-91,500 (after breaking the position and stepping back on the lower track) + 1-hour K-line closes negative, and short positions can be added, with a target of 88,000-86,000.

Stop loss setting: Breaking through 92,000 (the original position of the lower track of the daily line) requires unconditional stop loss.

Long defense strategy (high risk)

Left-side bottom-picking: Only try to buy with a light position when the price reaches 88,000 and the following signals appear:

1-hour RSI(6) ≤20 (current daily RSI=38.62, still has room to fall)

Trading volume shrinks to less than 3 billion USDT (panic selling)

Stop loss discipline: stop loss if it falls below 87,500, and halve the position to protect the principal if it rebounds to 90,000.

Key observation points and time window

Today at 21:30 (US market opening):

If US technology stocks (such as Nasdaq) fall sharply at the same time, Bitcoin may accelerate to bottom out at 85,000.

If US stocks rebound, Bitcoin may temporarily recover to 91,500-92,000, which is a second short-selling opportunity.

Miner selling pressure data:

The current 24-hour trading volume is 41,135 BTC. If the number of miner addresses transferred to the exchange increases sharply (>50,000 BTC), be alert to a deep drop at the 80,000 level.