Fed Minutes: Are There Surprises?
📊 Tomorrow, February 20 at 7:30 am UAE time, the FOMC Minutes will be released, which may reveal the Fed’s intentions regarding interest rates in the coming months.
🔹 What are we waiting for?
✅ Will the Fed confirm that inflation is still high and thus postpone the rate cut?
✅ Or will we see signs of monetary policy easing soon?
🔻 How might markets react?
📉 If the minutes are hawkish (no interest rate cut soon):
✅ The dollar will rise
✅ Cryptocurrencies and gold may decline
📈 If the minutes are dovish (hint of an imminent cut):
✅ Bitcoin, stocks and gold will rise
✅ The dollar will decline
🔹 My personal opinion:
I expect the Fed to remain cautious without hinting at an imminent cut, as inflation remains above target.
🔺 Inflation could be around 3.0% - 3.3%, which could delay any rate cut until mid-2025.