#ETH走势分析 ⚠️ Only watching and not liking, how will I update everyone later? After breaking a thousand followers, I will create a group for you all, and I will share the most important points in the group at that time——⚠️
Core Technical Signals
1. Key Resistance Zone Validation
Core Resistance Levels:
2715-2730 USD (High-density trading area from the 4-hour chart)
2750 USD (Rebound high on February 20, psychological resistance level)
Volume and Price Divergence:
If the price rebounds to the above resistance zone while trading volume continues to shrink (volume below the average of the last 3 days by more than 15%), it forms a 'false breakout' signal.
2. Technical Indicator Resonance
MACD: Daily MACD histogram has been shortening for 5 consecutive days, with the fast and slow lines flattening below the zero axis, indicating bearish momentum is building.
RSI (14): Current value is 54 (neutral to weak), if it rebounds above 60 without breaking through the 70 overbought area, it forms a top divergence.
Bollinger Bands: Price is below the middle band (2710 USD), if it touches the middle band and then retreats, it triggers a 'band pressure' signal.
II. Short Selling Strategy and Operation Plan
✅
Conservative Strategy: Set up short positions in the resistance zone
Entry Conditions:
Price rebounds to the 2715-2730 USD range
At the same time, meet the following two technical signals:
✅ MACD death cross on the hourly chart
✅ Candle pattern shows 'Evening Star' or 'Bearish Engulfing'
✅ Trading volume decreases by more than 20% compared to the previous period
Position Allocation:
Total position 5% (e.g.: for a 10,000 USD account, enter 500 USD)
Leverage: 3 times (volatility 4.8%, risk controllable)
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss: 2745 USD (0.5% above the resistance zone)
Target 1: 2655 USD (Low point on February 15, profit-loss ratio 1:1.8)
Target 2: 2562 USD (Strong support zone, profit-loss ratio 1:3.5)
✅
Aggressive Strategy: Chase shorts after breaking support
Trigger Conditions:
- Price surges in volume (volume > 30% of the average of the last 3 hours) and breaks below 2660 USD (immediate support)
15-minute chart forms a 'descending flag' or 'breaks through an ascending wedge'
Position Allocation:
Total position 3% (300 USD), leverage 5 times
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss: 2688 USD (1% above entry point)
Target: 2562 USD (profit-loss ratio 1:4) $ETH