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Myrtie Duh
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I stil dont get why FTXrepayment is a disater for market. People get back what they lose by fraud. It should be a good signal for this wildness market when fraud and crime is too familiar.
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Myrtie Duh
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# $OM USDT Market Analysis: Cautious Long Setup ## Market Overview OMUSDT has experienced extreme volatility, dropping from $6+ to $0.56 (~90% decline) with a recent price bounce on heavy volume. Current price: $0.5650 in a potential bottoming pattern. ## Technical Indicators - **RSI**: 15m (56.07), 1h (53.53), 4h (38.99), 1d (15.11) - Mixed signals, extreme oversold on daily - **Volume**: Significant spike (64.7M on 4h timeframe), 4x normal average - **Price Action**: 15% bounce from recent lows with bullish engulfing on 1h - **Funding Rate**: Negative (-0.0020%), indicating bearish futures sentiment ## Trade Setup - **Direction**: Cautious Long - **Entry**: $0.5650 (Limit) - **Stop Loss**: $0.5350 (5.31%) - **Take Profit**: $0.6050 (7.08%), $0.6350 (12.39%) - **Position Size**: 5% capital, max 2x leverage - **Risk:Reward**: 1.33 - **Success Probability**: 55% ## Key Risks 1. Strong downtrend on daily timeframe (RSI=15.11) 2. Potential bull trap at $0.6080 (previous resistance) 3. Orderbook imbalance (0.75) shows more selling pressure 4. Current bounce may be a "dead cat bounce" after capitulation ## Strategy Notes - Use DCA approach: 40% at $0.5650, 30% at $0.5550, 30% at $0.5450 - Exit after 24h if price doesn't reach first target - Consider trailing stop after reaching first TP - Monitor Bitcoin closely - invalidate if BTC breaks below $60K This is a high-risk, short-term trade targeting a technical bounce in a bearish market. Best suited for balanced/aggressive traders comfortable with volatility.
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#BTCRebound $MOVE USDT Analysis: Oversold Bounce Opportunity **Current Status**: $0.2298, Strong Bearish Trend, RSI: 26.93 (Oversold) MOVEUSDT is showing signs of potential short-term reversal after a significant decline from $0.65 to current levels. Price is trading well below both EMA7 ($0.2470) and EMA20 ($0.2999) on the daily timeframe, indicating a strong downtrend. **Key Signals**: - Daily RSI deeply oversold (26.93) - Negative funding rate (-0.0011) - Stochastic at extreme lows (9.15, 6.18) - Price near recent low ($0.2175) **Bearish Factors**: - Sustained downtrend with lower highs/lows - Price below all major EMAs - Selling pressure higher in orderbook (0.6593) - MACD continuing downward **Trade Setup**: - Entry: $0.2250-$0.2298 (limit orders) - Stop Loss: $0.2160 (6%) - Take Profit: $0.2400 (4.5%), $0.2470 (7.5%) - Position Size: 2-3% of capital - R:R: 1.25 (revised expectations) - Hold Time: 12-24 hours **Strategy**: This is strictly a short-term scalp trade against the primary trend. The probability of success is realistically 45-50%, not the initially estimated 65%. Consider using DCA with 40% at $0.2298, 30% at $0.2250, and 30% at $0.2200. **Risk Management**: - Exit immediately if price breaks below $0.2175 - Take partial profits at first resistance ($0.2350-$0.2400) - Be aware of BTC correlation; avoid if BTC shows weakness - Use trailing stop after reaching first target This opportunity is suitable for aggressive traders comfortable with counter-trend positions. Conservative investors should wait for clear trend reversal confirmation.
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Phân Tích Thị Trường ETHUSDT: Cơ Hội Scalp Trade Trong Bối Cảnh Bất Định
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PHÂN TÍCH THỊ TRƯỜNG BTCUSDT: XU HƯỚNG TĂNG GẦN VÙNG QUẢN TRỊ
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#BTCRebound CAKEUSDT市场分析更新（2025/04/21） ## 交易建议：等待买入 (6/10 信心度) **价格更新：** 从1.9930下跌至1.9790（-0.7%），出现多个看跌蜡烛图形态（十字星、锤子线、射击之星、看跌吞没） **新买入区域：** 1.9650-1.9750（支撑区） **止损：** 1.9360（-2.81%） **止盈目标：** - TP1: 2.0500（+3.8-4.3%）- 50%仓位 - TP2: 2.1000（+6.3-6.9%）- 30%仓位 - TP3: 2.1500（+8.9-9.4%）- 20%仓位 **风险回报比：** 2.3-2.5（改善） **成功概率：** 60%（略降） **策略调整原因：** 1. 短期出现多个看跌信号 2. 各时间框架RSI下降 3. 资金费率从0.0050降至0.0001 4. 订单簿买卖比从1.82降至1.44，但买方压力仍然较大 **分批买入策略：** - 1.9750: 40%仓位 - 1.9650: 30%仓位 - 1.9550: 30%仓位 **技术面总结：** - 短期趋势：下行调整 - 中长期趋势：仍处于上升结构 - 高概率形成熊陷阱后恢复上涨 **近期观察重点：** 1. 支撑区域（1.9750-1.9650）的反应 2. 订单簿不平衡比率变化 3. 4小时K线确认/否认短期下跌趋势 **结论：** 虽短期调整，但中长期上升结构仍然完好。建议利用调整在更好价位买入，预计调整后将继续上行趋势。
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