Why Do I Expect a Global Crisis in 2026? Here Are the Reasons:
1. Central Banks' Interest Rate Policies
In 2023-2024, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and other major central banks raised interest rates to control inflation. By 2026, economic growth may slow down, and debt burdens could increase.
2. Risk of a Debt Crisis
Both developed and developing countries are facing high debt levels. In particular, the debt burden in the U.S., Europe, and China could reach a breaking point.
3. Slowdown in the Chinese Economy
China’s real estate market collapse, production slowdowns, and trade tensions could negatively impact global growth.
4. Possibility of a Cyclical Recession
Historically, major economic crises tend to occur in cycles of 6-12 years. The last major crisis happened in 2008, followed by the COVID crisis in 2020. Based on economic cycles, a new crisis around 2026 seems possible.
If a severe economic contraction occurs in the U.S. or China, it could escalate into a global crisis.