【SOL Unlock Storm: Panic Trap or Bottom Opportunity?】#solana #解锁

1. Unlocking Truth:

12.1 million SOL unlocked only accounts for 2.6% of the circulation, far below market panic expectations.

The 42 million SOL in the FTX bankruptcy asset package will be unlocked in stages, with less than 1 million per month after 2025.

2. Layout:

$210 million buy orders in the $150-$160 range, market maker Wintermute net bought 270,000 SOL against the market.

Futures funding rate remains **-0.03%**, short fuel exhausted, significant short squeeze potential.

3. Technical Signals:

Weekly support at $148, daily RSI dropped to 32 in the oversold zone, rebound probability over 70%.

If it drops below $145, it will trigger $280 million in leveraged long liquidations, the main force may take the opportunity to wash positions.

🚀 Operation Strategy

1. Current price - $150: Regular investment (10% position), buy $150 put options for hedging.

2. If it breaks below $140: Heavy targeting (40% position), aim to seize panic selling.

3. If it breaks above $175: Trend chasing (30% position), staggered take profit (180/200/220 dollars).

⚠️ Risk Warning

FTX trustee or over-the-counter sell-off (15% probability).

If the Solana network experiences another outage, it will trigger a crisis of trust.

Need to reduce leverage before the US CPI data on March 12!

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