Short-term support and resistance**: The current price (96,211.9) is between the middle track (97,171.6) and the lower track (96,157.3) of the Bollinger Band, close to the lower track, and may test the lower track support in the short term. If it does not effectively break below, it may trigger a rebound to the vicinity of the middle track (97,171); if it breaks below, it may further drop to 95,778.9 (24-hour low).

In the next 24 hours, BTC may fluctuate in the range of 95,778.9-97,630.8, and tend to rebound in the short term to test the resistance near 97,000, but if it fails to break through MA5 (96,501.5), it may return to the downward trend.

Trend analysis for the next week (based on daily K-line)

3. Key resistance: If the price can stand firm on MA20 (98,623.3) and break through the middle track of the Bollinger Band within the week, it may reverse the downward trend and test 104,365.4 (upper track); on the contrary, breaking through 94,021.3 (recent low point) will accelerate the downward trend.

Conclusion: BTC is likely to continue its downward trend in the next week, with the target looking at the 92,800-94,000 area. If the rebound breaks through 98,623 (daily MA20), the short-term bearish logic will fail, and we need to be alert to the reversal risk.

**Risk warning**: The above analysis is based on static technical indicators and does not take into account sudden market events (such as regulatory policies and macroeconomic data). If the price breaks through key resistance/support quickly, it is necessary to adjust the strategy in combination with real-time data. #比特币 #交易