Yesterday, on the Lantern Festival, the US released CPI data which was negative, but then Powell's speech created a positive smokescreen, leading to another V-shaped reversal in the market. Today, I would like to share my personal views on Bitcoin in 2025. Currently, from the chart perspective, the monthly K-level for Bitcoin is still in a bull market phase, while other mainstream currencies are showing signs of weakness and lack of upward momentum. Smaller coins have been halved. Under the current market environment, there is uncertainty in the macro economy and issues of global economic inflation. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice in 2025, totaling no more than 50 basis points. The expected rate cut periods are May-June and August-October. Based on the current monthly K-level trend, May-June will likely see a bull market peak. If market sentiment lags, then after the rate cuts in October-November, Bitcoin may enter a bear market correction phase again. Personally, I expect this bull market will see Bitcoin crazily surge, reaching a peak between 130,000 to 150,000 before beginning to pull back. In the short term, from February to April, there won't be too much positive news, and the market will likely enter a phase of range-bound fluctuation again, which will be quite torturous for those holding positions. However, the coexistence of risk and opportunity makes it crucial to grasp the timing of entry and exit.
For friends operating in the spot market, Bitcoin is currently at a high level in the short term. Each pullback under pressure is an opportunity to sell, and downward spikes can offer chances for short-term gains. However, try not to hold long positions to avoid market fluctuations leading to profit losses. (In contract trading, it's best to choose short to medium-term operations for survival. Setting stop-losses properly will help secure stable profits in the long run. The current market conditions require patience. Each entry and exit timing tests the trader's judgment of market trends. A scientifically reasonable trading system can greatly assist beginners or those feeling lost. If interested, feel free to discuss this with me.)
In the cryptocurrency market, there is no shortage of teachers, analysis, or operational advice. What is lacking is someone who can truly help everyone solve problems. Investment should not be blind; rational choices are needed. I am Meng Xiaohan, a practical person focused on the cryptocurrency space. Investing is like going to sea; risk avoidance ensures safety, and I hope you can achieve financial freedom soon with the help of a good mentor.#加密市场反弹 #山寨季何时到来？ 