All words are sincere and true. And altseason believers should inspect “always green February” statistics. Probably second worst feb. in history for alts for now
NorbertMoutier
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Why There Won’t Be an Altseason Like Everyone Hopes
I’m tired of seeing posts predicting an altseason tomorrow, XRP at $1,000, and magical 100x pumps just around the corner. So, let’s settle this once and for all—there won’t be an altseason like the ones we had in 2017 or 2021. Here’s why.
1. Money Is More Expensive In previous cycles, low interest rates fueled speculation. Today, higher borrowing costs mean less capital flowing into crypto.
2. The Market Is Built on Pump and Dump Cycles Rather than sustained rallies, we’re seeing isolated pumps followed by harsh corrections. Institutions and market makers prioritize controlled liquidity over organic growth.
3. The Cycle Looks More Like a March 2024 Dump While many expect a post-halving surge, the current market structure suggests another liquidity-driven dump rather than a full-blown rally.
4. Exchanges and Market Makers Are Reducing BTC Volatility Traders have learned from past cycles—but so have exchanges and big players. The market is increasingly designed to suppress extreme BTC volatility, preventing the kind of explosive altcoin surges seen before. Controlled liquidity ensures steady profits for insiders while limiting retail-driven euphoria.
5. Trump Wants a Strong Dollar If Trump wins, his policies—boosting U.S. production and oil exports—favor a strong USD. A stronger dollar pressures risk assets like crypto.
6. Next Pump? Maybe April, If Inflation Drops A relief rally could come in April if inflation cools and the Fed signals rate cuts, but don’t expect a lasting altseason.
7. The Only Opportunity for Europeans With the euro likely to weaken, the real play for Europeans isn’t altcoins—it’s simply holding assets that aren’t denominated in euros.
Prove Me Wrong
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