If it meets expectations, a slight increase; if it's below expectations, a significant increase; if it's above expectations, a drop (but it won't be a deep drop). However, the Cleveland Fed's forecast is in line with expectations.

Additionally, the screenshot data you are looking at is incorrect; you are looking at:

Monthly unadjusted CPI year-on-year

Monthly unadjusted core CPI year-on-year

These two