Altcoin Season 2025 Disappoints Expectations

January’s altcoin rally stalled as key alt season index remains neutral and BTC dominance surges to 58%.

Azcnews Breaking Altcoin Season 2025 Disappoints Expectations

The anticipated 2025 altcoin season has not gone as expected. A key indicator of altcoin momentum, the altcoin season index, remains neutral, indicating that this is not an altcoin or Bitcoin [BTC] season.

Since late December 2024, the index has been hovering around 50, leaving most altcoins in a sideways or declining state. However, some coins like Solana [SOL] have recorded a slight increase during the same period.

Altcoin Season Index

Altcoin Season Index

BTC dominance surges to 58%

Historically, altcoins’ growth momentum often occurs when BTC dominance (BTC.D) declines, leading to a rotation of money flows from Bitcoin to altcoins.

This process is also often accompanied by a sharp decline in USDT dominance (USDT.D), indicating an increase in speculative investment in altcoins.

During the November rally, the altcoin market (OTHERS, white line) recorded a strong increase when USDT.D and BTC.D both fell.

However, since the end of December 2024, BTC.D has increased from 55% to more than 58%, indicating that most investors are focusing their capital on Bitcoin instead of altcoins.