Updated Analysis $ETH Last 24h
- High Volatility: High at 2838.59 (04/02 14:00) and low at 2633.56 (04/02 23:00), close at 2743.2 (-1.5% vs yesterday).
- Bearish Value Area (VA): 2640.1–2779.75 (vs 2573–2711 yesterday), with POC at 2640.1 (new critical support).
- Significant Volume: Peaks at 17k ETH (04/02 20:00 and 22:00) during sell-off, followed by moderate recovery.
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Key Levels
- Supports:
- POC (2640.1): Equilibrium zone, break below opens to new lows.
- VA Low (2640.1): Coincides with POC, strong support.
- Resistances:
- VA High (2779.75): Upper limit of "fair value".
- Profile Range High (2831.3): Key resistance.
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Scenarios and Actions
1. Bullish Recovery (Breakout >2779.75):
- Conditions: Volume >8k ETH and close above 2779.75.
- Actions: Long towards 2831.3 (test of the high), SL 2740.
- Extension: Breakout of 2831.3 target at 2900 (liquidity gap).
2. Rejection at VA High and Return to POC:
- Conditions: Price fluctuates below 2779.75 with weak volumes (<5k ETH).
- Stocks: Short-term short towards 2640.1 (POC), SL 2800.
3. Break of POC (2640.1):
- Conditions: Close below 2640.1 with increasing volumes.
- Stocks: Short towards 2600 (psychological support), target 2500 (historical lower limit).
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Operational Strategy
- Intraday:
- Buy above 2779.75 (target 2831.3), SL 2740.
- Sell below 2640.1 (target 2600), SL 2670.
- Swing Trading:
- Long accumulation near 2640.1 (POC) with SL 2600. Take profit at 2779.75 and 2831.3.
- Breakout 2831.3: Add long positions, trailing SL of 3%.
- Risk Management:
- Max risk 1-2% per trade.
- Beware of false moves: always confirm with volume.
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Conclusion: Market in bearish consolidation phase, with selling pressure near 2779.75. The POC (2640.1) is a key level: a defense here could indicate accumulation, while a break would open to new lows. Priority to reactive trades with volume confirmations.