As 2025 begins, the cryptocurrency market trend is like a rollercoaster, and regulatory policies are undergoing significant changes. In this volatile situation, opportunities and risks coexist, let's dive deeper into the analysis.
📉 Market Crash Moment
1️⃣ 🪙 BTC: On February 3, affected by Trump's tariff policy, Bitcoin price fell sharply, touching a low of $91,252, with a daily drop of 6.83%. It rebounded on the morning of February 4 back to $100K, peaking at $102K. As of February 5, the price is $98,147, with a 24-hour change of -2.35%. The crash triggered over 730,000 liquidation, with $1.89 billion in long positions liquidated on February 3, spreading panic in the market, but the subsequent rebound eased the fear index, hinting at a bottoming signal.
2️⃣ 📦 ETH: As of February 5, price $2,720.39, 24-hour change -3.83%, this week's drop has reached 18%, setting a new low for the year. An institution holds 70,000 ETH, with an unrealized loss of $36.7 million, astonishing.
3️⃣ 🌐 SOL: Overall state of ecosystem projects shows capital outflow, bleak, however, the Trump concept DeFi is attracting capital against the trend, becoming a unique phenomenon in the market.
📊 Core Data Radar
1️⃣ 📈 Bitcoin spot daily trading volume: $70.48 billion, such a huge trading volume raises speculation whether institutions are accumulating at low prices for future layouts.
2️⃣ 🏦 US Treasury yield curve inversion: 10-year at 4.521%, this change in the bond market clearly reflects that capital risk aversion sentiment is continuously rising.
3️⃣ 👛 ETF Capital Trends:
BTC inflow $91.78M
ETH inflow $83.54M
Smart money has already positioned on the left side, betting on market direction in advance?
🚨 Regulatory Storm Warning
🔔 The US SEC establishes a special task force for cryptocurrency, which undoubtedly releases a significant signal of compliance, indicating that regulation in the cryptocurrency market will enter a new stage.
📰 (New York Times) reports: The regulatory direction has shifted from 'all-out crackdown' to 'legal issuance' path, this shift will profoundly affect the future development of the market.
📍 Utah plans to establish a Bitcoin state reserve, while the XRP Ledger suddenly experiences a 1-hour outage; one side is actively exploring, while the other faces unexpected situations, making the market full of uncertainty.
💡 Three major clues for breakthroughs
1️⃣ 📜 Policy Turning Point: The US Congress accelerates the formulation of cryptocurrency legislation, CFTC exits enforcement supervision, and changes at the policy level will bring new opportunities and challenges to the market.
2️⃣ 🏛️ Giants' Game: Grayscale LTC ETF application is steadily advancing, Semler spends $88.5M on BTC again, and the actions of the giants are guiding the market direction.
3️⃣ 💻 Technical Breakthrough: Berachain is about to announce its token economic model, Jupiter launches token buyback, and innovations and changes at the technical level are expected to break the current market pattern.
📆 This week's life-and-death speed
⏰ 2/5 23:00 US ISM Services PMI (expected 54.3), this data will reflect the development status of the US service industry and impact market sentiment.
⏰ 2/7 21:30 Non-farm payroll data (expected 170,000 vs previous 256,000), non-farm payroll data has always been the focus of the financial market, and its performance will directly affect market trends.
🔐 OSL Compliance Guide
Hong Kong's largest licensed OTC platform offers:
✔️ Institutional-grade cold storage to ensure asset security.
✔️ Real-time block trading to meet trading demands.
✔️ 24/7 fiat currency channels provide convenient currency exchange.
（This article does not constitute investment advice, invest cautiously）
